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Serie A

Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese

Roma

S U S U U

3–2

Full-time

Torino

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Torino

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 44%

55%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

58%

52%

Both score Ø 67%

73%

61%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

20 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 3. · Torino 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	33	25	4	4	+45	79
2	Napoli	34	22	7	5	+43	73
3	Roma	33	18	11	4	+34	65
4	Inter	33	18	7	8	+14	61
5	Fiorentina	33	17	8	8	+18	59
6	Milan	33	14	10	9	+8	52
7	Sassuolo	34	12	13	9	+3	49
8	Lazio	33	13	9	11	+2	48
9	Chievo	33	12	9	12	-2	45
10	Torino	33	11	9	13	-2	42
11	Genoa	33	11	7	15	-3	40
12	Empoli	33	10	9	14	-9	39
13	Sampdoria	34	9	10	15	-4	37
14	Atalanta	33	9	10	14	-7	37
15	Bologna	34	10	7	17	-13	37
16	Udinese	33	9	8	16	-19	35
17	Carpi	33	7	10	16	-18	31
18	Frosinone	33	8	6	19	-30	30
19	Palermo	33	7	7	19	-32	28
20	Verona	33	3	13	17	-28	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	17	14	3	0	+32	45
2	Juventus	16	13	2	1	+21	41
3	Fiorentina	17	11	4	2	+19	37
4	Roma	16	10	5	1	+22	35
5	Inter	17	11	2	4	+11	35
6	Milan	16	9	4	3	+8	31
7	Genoa	16	9	3	4	+11	30
8	Lazio	17	9	3	5	+9	30
9	Atalanta	17	7	5	5	+5	26
10	Sassuolo	17	6	8	3	+2	26
11	Sampdoria	17	7	4	6	+6	25
12	Torino	17	6	6	5	+3	24
13	Chievo	16	6	6	4	+3	24
14	Frosinone	17	6	4	7	-5	22
15	Empoli	16	5	5	6	+0	20
16	Carpi	17	5	5	7	-2	20
17	Udinese	16	5	4	7	-6	19
18	Bologna	17	4	5	8	-2	17
19	Palermo	16	4	3	9	-9	15
20	Verona	17	2	6	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	12	2	3	+24	38
2	Roma	17	8	6	3	+12	30
3	Napoli	17	8	4	5	+11	28
4	Inter	16	7	5	4	+3	26
5	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	+1	23
6	Fiorentina	16	6	4	6	-1	22
7	Milan	17	5	6	6	+0	21
8	Chievo	17	6	3	8	-5	21
9	Bologna	17	6	2	9	-11	20
10	Empoli	17	5	4	8	-9	19
11	Torino	16	5	3	8	-5	18
12	Lazio	16	4	6	6	-7	18
13	Udinese	17	4	4	9	-13	16
14	Palermo	17	3	4	10	-23	13
15	Sampdoria	17	2	6	9	-10	12
16	Atalanta	16	2	5	9	-12	11
17	Carpi	16	2	5	9	-16	11
18	Genoa	17	2	4	11	-14	10
19	Verona	16	1	7	8	-17	10
20	Frosinone	16	2	2	12	-25	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.