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Serie A

Referee: Massimiliano Irrati

Cagliari

S S S T T

2–1

Full-time

Palermo

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,0

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

2,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,3

This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

40%

10%

Points per game

1,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

100%

40%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

4,0

2,6

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

2,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

8 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 16

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 16. · Palermo 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	9	0	2	+15	27
2	Roma	11	7	2	2	+14	23
3	Milan	11	7	1	3	+3	22
4	Lazio	11	6	3	2	+10	21
5	Napoli	11	6	2	3	+8	20
6	Atalanta	11	6	1	4	+3	19
7	Torino	11	4	4	3	+7	16
8	Fiorentina	10	4	4	2	+3	16
9	Genoa	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Chievo	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Inter	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Udinese	11	4	2	5	-3	14
13	Sampdoria	11	4	2	5	-4	14
14	Bologna	11	3	4	4	-4	13
15	Sassuolo	11	4	1	6	-5	13
16	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	-6	13
17	Pescara	11	1	4	6	-7	7
18	Empoli	11	1	4	6	-11	7
19	Palermo	10	1	3	6	-12	6
20	Crotone	11	1	2	8	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Roma	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Milan	6	5	0	1	+5	15
4	Lazio	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Napoli	5	4	0	1	+6	12
6	Atalanta	6	4	0	2	+4	12
7	Torino	5	3	2	0	+7	11
8	Cagliari	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Sampdoria	5	3	1	1	+2	10
10	Bologna	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Genoa	5	2	3	0	+5	9
12	Fiorentina	5	2	3	0	+2	9
13	Sassuolo	5	3	0	2	-1	9
14	Inter	5	2	2	1	+1	8
15	Chievo	5	2	2	1	+1	8
16	Udinese	6	2	2	2	+0	8
17	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Crotone	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Pescara	6	0	3	3	-4	3
20	Palermo	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	3	0	2	+3	9
2	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+2	8
3	Napoli	6	2	2	2	+2	8
4	Roma	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Milan	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	Chievo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Inter	6	2	0	4	-2	6
10	Palermo	5	1	3	1	-2	6
11	Udinese	5	2	0	3	-3	6
12	Genoa	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Torino	6	1	2	3	+0	5
14	Pescara	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Sassuolo	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Bologna	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Cagliari	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Empoli	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.