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Serie A

Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese

Roma

T S T S S

4–1

Full-time

Palermo

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

63%

13%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

88%

25%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

3,6

2,1

Scored

2,4

0,6

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 4. · Palermo 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	7	0	2	+11	21
2	Milan	9	6	1	2	+5	19
3	Napoli	9	5	2	2	+7	17
4	Roma	8	5	1	2	+9	16
5	Torino	9	4	3	2	+8	15
6	Lazio	9	4	3	2	+6	15
7	Chievo	9	4	2	3	+1	14
8	Atalanta	9	4	1	4	-1	13
9	Sassuolo	9	4	1	4	-2	13
10	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Fiorentina	8	3	3	2	+2	12
12	Genoa	8	3	3	2	+2	12
13	Bologna	9	3	3	3	-3	12
14	Inter	9	3	2	4	-1	11
15	Sampdoria	9	3	2	4	-2	11
16	Udinese	9	3	1	5	-5	10
17	Pescara	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Palermo	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	Empoli	9	1	3	5	-9	6
20	Crotone	9	0	1	8	-13	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Milan	5	4	0	1	+4	12
4	Torino	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Cagliari	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Bologna	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+4	9
8	Atalanta	5	3	0	2	+1	9
9	Sassuolo	4	3	0	1	+1	9
10	Fiorentina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
11	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+4	7
12	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Sampdoria	4	2	1	1	+1	7
14	Udinese	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Genoa	4	1	3	0	+2	6
16	Inter	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Pescara	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Palermo	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	3	0	2	+3	9
2	Napoli	5	2	2	1	+3	8
3	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Milan	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Chievo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Palermo	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Genoa	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Inter	5	2	0	3	-1	6
9	Torino	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Fiorentina	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Roma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Pescara	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Sassuolo	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Cagliari	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Empoli	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-6	2
20	Crotone	5	0	0	5	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.