Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sampdoria
Udinese
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | +22 | 42 |
| 2 |
Roma
|
17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | +19 | 35 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +19 | 34 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +11 | 34 |
| 5 |
Milan
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 33 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | +6 | 32 |
| 7 |
Inter
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +7 | 30 |
| 8 |
Fiorentina
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +8 | 25 |
| 10 |
Chievo
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +1 | 25 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | +0 | 24 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +0 | 23 |
| 13 |
Sampdoria
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 22 |
| 14 |
Bologna
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 |
Cagliari
|
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 |
Sassuolo
|
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 |
Empoli
|
18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -16 | 14 |
| 18 |
Crotone
|
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -18 | 9 |
| 19 |
Palermo
|
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -19 | 9 |
| 20 |
Pescara
|
17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | -19 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Škriniar
D
K. Linetty
M
Bruno Fernandes
M
L. Torreira
M
Coach: M. Giampaolo
S. Fofana
M
D. Zapata
F
Coach: L. Delneri
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Chievo
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
Lazio
Sampdoria
Torino
Crotone
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
Sassuolo
Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.