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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Doveri
Sampdoria
U S T S U
3–2
Full-time
Sassuolo
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
42%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
58%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
21 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 14. · Sassuolo 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 13 11 0 2 +19 33
2 Roma 12 8 2 2 +17 26
3 Milan 12 8 1 3 +4 25
4 Napoli 13 7 3 3 +9 24
5 Lazio 12 6 4 2 +10 22
6 Atalanta 12 7 1 4 +6 22
7 Torino 12 5 4 3 +11 19
8 Chievo 13 5 3 5 -1 18
9 Fiorentina 11 4 5 2 +3 17
10 Inter 12 5 2 5 +2 17
11 Genoa 11 4 4 3 +2 16
12 Cagliari 13 5 1 7 -10 16
13 Udinese 13 4 3 6 -4 15
14 Sampdoria 12 4 3 5 -4 15
15 Bologna 12 3 4 5 -7 13
16 Sassuolo 12 4 1 7 -8 13
17 Empoli 12 2 4 6 -7 10
18 Pescara 13 1 4 8 -14 7
19 Palermo 12 1 3 8 -14 6
20 Crotone 12 1 2 9 -14 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Sassuolo
Jacopo Sala 🟨
18′
21′
🟨 Luca Antei
Milan Škriniar 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
Matías Silvestre 🟨
52′
53′
🟨 Simone Missiroli
61′
🔁 F. Magnanelli
↦ S. Missiroli
62′
🟨 Federico Peluso
64′
F. Ricci 0–1
A. Ragusa
D. Praet 🔁
↦ É. Barreto
70′
74′
A. Ragusa 0–2
L. Pellegrini
75′
🔁 A. Matri
↦ G. Defrel
Lucas Torreira 🟨
76′
P. Schick 🔁
↦ Bruno Fernandes
78′
82′
🔁 C. Adjapong
↦ A. Ragusa
1–2 F. Quagliarella
84′
2–2 L. Muriel
F. Quagliarella
85′
Pedro Pereira 🔁
↦ J. Sala
88′
3–2 L. Muriel
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
1 C. Puggioni G
26 M. Silvestre D
19 V. Regini D
22 J. Sala D
37 M. Škriniar D
8 É. Barreto M
16 K. Linetty M
10 Bruno Fernandes M
34 L. Torreira M
27 F. Quagliarella F
9 L. Muriel F
Bench (12)
18 D. Praet
14 P. Schick
13 Pedro Pereira
21 L. Cigarini
92 A. Tozzo
5 Dodô
17 A. Palombo
6 M. Eramo
47 A. Budimir
11 R. Álvarez
15 L. Krajnc
23 F. Đuričić

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
23 M. Gazzola D
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
5 L. Antei D
7 S. Missiroli M
22 L. Mazzitelli M
6 L. Pellegrini M
90 A. Ragusa F
11 G. Defrel F
27 F. Ricci F
Bench (12)
4 F. Magnanelli
10 A. Matri
98 C. Adjapong
79 G. Pegolo
20 Pol Lirola
9 P. Iemmello
28 P. Cannavaro
39 C. Dell'Orco
26 E. Terranova
17 N. Pierini
14 M. Marin
1 A. Pomini

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Doveri · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.