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Serie A
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Fiorentina
T U T S S
3–0
Full-time
Torino
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
78%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
22 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Fiorentina 10. · Torino 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 10 8 2 0 +13 26
2 Napoli 9 8 1 0 +21 25
3 Juventus 9 7 1 1 +18 22
4 Lazio 9 7 1 1 +14 22
5 Roma 8 6 0 2 +10 18
6 Sampdoria 9 5 2 2 +6 17
7 Atalanta 10 4 3 3 +4 15
8 Chievo 9 4 3 2 +1 15
9 Bologna 9 4 2 3 -1 14
10 Fiorentina 9 4 1 4 +4 13
11 Torino 9 3 4 2 +0 13
12 Milan 9 4 1 4 -1 13
13 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 -10 8
14 Genoa 9 1 3 5 -5 6
15 Udinese 9 2 0 7 -6 6
16 Cagliari 9 2 0 7 -11 6
17 Crotone 9 1 3 5 -13 6
18 Verona 10 1 3 6 -16 6
19 Spal 9 1 2 6 -8 5
20 Benevento 9 0 0 9 -20 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fiorentina Torino
18′
🟨 Daniele Baselli
V. Eysseric 🔁
↦ C. Théréau
19′
1–0 M. Benassi
G. Simeone
29′
Davide Astori 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Álex Berenguer
↦ U. Sadiq
61′
🟨 Tomás Rincón
2–0 G. Simeone
M. Benassi
66′
67′
🔁 M. Valdifiori
↦ T. Rincón
K. Babacar 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
72′
73′
🟥 Antonio Barreca
74′
🟨 Emiliano Moretti
3–0 K. Babacar
74′
77′
🔁 C. Molinaro
↦ Iago Falqué
Bruno Gaspar 🔁
↦ V. Laurini
79′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
57 M. Sportiello G
13 D. Astori D
2 V. Laurini D
3 C. Biraghi D
20 G. Pezzella D
5 M. Badelj M
17 J. Veretout M
24 M. Benassi M
77 C. Théréau F
9 G. Simeone F
25 F. Chiesa F
Bench (12)
10 V. Eysseric
30 K. Babacar
76 Bruno Gaspar
4 N. Milenković
6 C. Sánchez
11 I. Hagi
15 M. Olivera
19 S. Cristóforo
27 S. Lo Faso
28 Gil Dias
31 Vitor Hugo
97 B. Drągowski

Coach: S. Pioli

Torino

4-2-3-1
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
33 N. N'Koulou D
23 A. Barreca D
88 T. Rincón M
8 D. Baselli M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
11 M. Niang F
99 U. Sadiq F
Bench (12)
21 Álex Berenguer
5 M. Valdifiori
3 C. Molinaro
1 S. Ichazo
4 K. Bonifazi
6 A. Acquah
13 N. Burdisso
16 Samuel Gustafson
19 M. De Luca
20 S. Edera
31 L. Boyé
32 V. Savić

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.