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Serie A

Referee: Luca J Pairetto

Fiorentina

T T S S T

1–1

Full-time

Atalanta

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

10 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

4 Offside 3

22 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 12. · Atalanta 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	6	0	0	+17	18
2	Juventus	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Inter	6	5	1	0	+10	16
4	Lazio	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Roma	5	4	0	1	+8	12
6	Milan	6	4	0	2	+2	12
7	Sampdoria	5	3	2	0	+4	11
8	Torino	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	Chievo	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Bologna	6	2	2	2	-2	8
11	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Fiorentina	5	2	0	3	+1	6
13	Cagliari	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Spal	6	1	1	4	-6	4
15	Sassuolo	6	1	1	4	-6	4
16	Crotone	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	Udinese	6	1	0	5	-5	3
18	Genoa	6	0	2	4	-5	2
19	Verona	6	0	2	4	-13	2
20	Benevento	6	0	0	6	-15	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Milan	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Roma	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Torino	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Crotone	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Spal	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Bologna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Sassuolo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Verona	4	0	1	3	-10	1
20	Benevento	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Lazio	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Inter	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Torino	4	2	1	1	-2	7
6	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Bologna	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Sampdoria	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Milan	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Verona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Spal	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Udinese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Benevento	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.