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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
Benevento
T T T T T
0–3
Full-time
Fiorentina
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,2
1,8
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
0%
38%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 44%
25%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
2,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-2,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benevento 20. · Fiorentina 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 9 8 1 0 +21 25
2 Inter 9 7 2 0 +12 23
3 Juventus 8 6 1 1 +14 19
4 Lazio 8 6 1 1 +11 19
5 Sampdoria 8 5 2 1 +7 17
6 Roma 7 5 0 2 +9 15
7 Chievo 9 4 3 2 +1 15
8 Bologna 8 4 2 2 +0 14
9 Torino 8 3 4 1 +1 13
10 Milan 8 4 0 4 -1 12
11 Fiorentina 8 3 1 4 +1 10
12 Atalanta 8 2 3 3 +0 9
13 Udinese 8 2 0 6 -2 6
14 Cagliari 8 2 0 6 -8 6
15 Crotone 9 1 3 5 -13 6
16 Verona 9 1 3 5 -13 6
17 Genoa 8 1 2 5 -5 5
18 Spal 8 1 2 5 -7 5
19 Sassuolo 8 1 2 5 -11 5
20 Benevento 8 0 0 8 -17 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benevento Fiorentina
18′
M. Benassi 0–1
G. Simeone
Raman Chibsah 🟨
40′
45′
🟨 Germán Pezzella
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 K. Babacar
↦ G. Simeone
47′
K. Babacar 0–2
J. Veretout
S. Armenteros 🔁
↦ P. Iemmello
56′
Danilo Cataldi 🟨
65′
66′
C. Théréau 0–3
C. Lombardi 🔁
↦ A. Ciciretti
70′
71′
🔁 S. Lo Faso
↦ F. Chiesa
M. Kanoute 🔁
↦ D. Cataldi
82′
82′
🔁 S. Cristóforo
↦ J. Veretout
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Benevento

4-3-1-2
22 A. Brignoli G
6 B. Djimsiti D
3 G. Letizia D
23 L. Venuti D
18 B. Gyamfi D
14 N. Viola M
20 L. Memushaj M
10 A. Ciciretti M
13 R. Chibsah M
8 D. Cataldi M
33 P. Iemmello F
Bench (11)
90 S. Armenteros
87 C. Lombardi
24 M. Kanoute
1 V. Belec
4 L. Del Pinto
11 M. Coda
17 G. Di Chiara
26 V. Parigini
32 G. Puşcaş
77 A. Lazaar
95 A. Gravillon

Coach: M. Baroni

Fiorentina

4-3-3
57 M. Sportiello G
13 D. Astori D
2 V. Laurini D
3 C. Biraghi D
20 G. Pezzella D
5 M. Badelj M
17 J. Veretout M
24 M. Benassi M
77 C. Théréau F
9 G. Simeone F
25 F. Chiesa F
Bench (12)
30 K. Babacar
27 S. Lo Faso
19 S. Cristóforo
4 N. Milenković
6 C. Sánchez
10 V. Eysseric
11 I. Hagi
15 M. Olivera
22 M. Cerofolini
76 Bruno Gaspar
97 B. Drągowski
31 Vitor Hugo

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.