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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Juventus
S S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Torino
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
2,7
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 80%
100%
60%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
2,8
2,0
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

66% Possession 34%
23 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Juventus 2. · Torino 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 6 6 0 0 +17 18
2 Juventus 5 5 0 0 +11 15
3 Inter 5 4 1 0 +9 13
4 Roma 5 4 0 1 +8 12
5 Milan 5 4 0 1 +4 12
6 Torino 5 3 2 0 +5 11
7 Lazio 5 3 1 1 +2 10
8 Sampdoria 4 2 2 0 +2 8
9 Atalanta 5 2 1 2 +2 7
10 Fiorentina 5 2 0 3 +1 6
11 Cagliari 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Chievo 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Bologna 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Sassuolo 5 1 1 3 -5 4
15 Spal 6 1 1 4 -6 4
16 Udinese 6 1 0 5 -5 3
17 Genoa 5 0 2 3 -4 2
18 Verona 5 0 2 3 -10 2
19 Crotone 5 0 1 4 -10 1
20 Benevento 5 0 0 5 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Torino
10′
🟨 Daniele Baselli
1–0 P. Dybala
M. Pjanić
16′
24′
🟨 Daniele Baselli
24′
🟥 Daniele Baselli
30′
🔁 A. Acquah
↦ Iago Falqué
39′
🟨 Adem Ljajić
2–0 M. Pjanić
J. Cuadrado
40′
Medhi Benatia 🟨
45′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 Alex Sandro
M. Pjanić
57′
F. Bernardeschi 🔁
↦ J. Cuadrado
62′
70′
🔁 L. Boyé
↦ M. Niang
R. Bentancur 🔁
↦ B. Matuidi
72′
75′
🔁 Samuel Gustafson
↦ T. Rincón
G. Higuaín 🔁
↦ M. Mandžukić
80′
83′
🟨 Afriyie Acquah
4–0 P. Dybala
G. Higuaín
91′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Juventus

4-4-2
1 G. Buffon
26 S. Lichtsteiner D
4 M. Benatia D
3 G. Chiellini D
12 Alex Sandro D
14 B. Matuidi M
5 M. Pjanić M
7 J. Cuadrado M
11 Douglas Costa M
17 M. Mandžukić F
10 P. Dybala F
Bench (9)
33 F. Bernardeschi
30 R. Bentancur
9 G. Higuaín
15 A. Barzagli
16 C. Pinsoglio
22 K. Asamoah
23 W. Szczęsny
24 D. Rugani
27 S. Sturaro

Coach: M. Allegri

Torino

4-2-3-1
39 S. Sirigu G
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
97 Lyanco D
88 T. Rincón M
8 D. Baselli M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
11 M. Niang F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
6 A. Acquah
31 L. Boyé
16 Samuel Gustafson
1 S. Ichazo
3 C. Molinaro
5 M. Valdifiori
13 N. Burdisso
20 S. Edera
21 Álex Berenguer
24 E. Moretti
32 V. Savić
99 U. Sadiq

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.