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Serie A
Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 13. · Udinese 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chievo 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Palermo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Inter 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Sampdoria 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
11 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Lazio 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Napoli 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
16 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Empoli 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Carpi 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Bologna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Udinese
Half-time 0–0
A. Matri 🔁
↦ A. Candreva
56′
Felipe Anderson 🔁
↦ S. Lulić
56′
56′
🔁 E. Agyemang-Badu
↦ Bruno Fernandes
1–0 A. Matri
Felipe Anderson
64′
71′
🔁 A. Di Natale
↦ C. Théréau
2–0 A. Matri
73′
78′
🔁 R. Aguirre
↦ P. Kone
S. Milinković-Savić 🔁
↦ S. Mauri
83′
90′
🟨 Manuel Iturra
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lazio

22 F. Marchetti G
8 D. Basta M
26 Ş. Radu D
33 Mauricio D
2 W. Hoedt D
6 S. Mauri M
87 A. Candreva M
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
32 D. Cataldi M
14 B. Keita F
Bench (12)
17 A. Matri
10 Felipe Anderson
21 S. Milinković-Savić
55 G. Guerrieri
29 A. Konko
99 E. Berisha
88 R. Kishna
7 R. Morrison
70 C. Ikonomidis
23 O. Onazi
18 S. Gentiletti
5 E. Braafheid

Udinese

31 O. Karnezis G
5 Danilo D
75 T. Heurtaux D
21 Edenilson M
89 I. Piris D
53 Ali Adnan M
16 M. Iturra M
33 P. Kone M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
77 C. Théréau F
9 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
7 E. Agyemang-Badu
10 A. Di Natale
74 R. Aguirre
30 Felipe
23 Marquinho
13 E. Insúa
52 A. Merkel
26 G. Pasquale
11 M. Domizzi
90 R. Romo
2 M. Wagué
18 S. Perica

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gianpaolo Calvarese · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.