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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Inter
S S U T T
0–0
Full-time
Lazio
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 66%
67%
65%
Points per game
2,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
50%
88%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
76%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,9
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 3. · Lazio 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 19 15 3 1 +29 48
2 Juventus 18 14 2 2 +31 44
3 Inter 18 12 4 2 +20 40
4 Roma 18 12 3 3 +17 39
5 Lazio 17 11 3 3 +21 36
6 Sampdoria 18 9 3 6 +8 30
7 Fiorentina 19 7 6 6 +8 27
8 Udinese 18 9 0 9 +6 27
9 Atalanta 19 7 6 6 +4 27
10 Torino 19 5 10 4 -2 25
11 Milan 19 7 4 8 -3 25
12 Bologna 19 7 3 9 -4 24
13 Chievo 19 5 6 8 -12 21
14 Sassuolo 19 6 3 10 -16 21
15 Cagliari 19 6 2 11 -12 20
16 Genoa 19 4 6 9 -7 18
17 Spal 19 3 6 10 -14 15
18 Crotone 19 4 3 12 -24 15
19 Verona 18 3 4 11 -19 13
20 Benevento 19 1 1 17 -31 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. May -17 Lazio – Inter 1–3 21. Dec -16 Inter – Lazio 3–0 1. May -16 Lazio – Inter 2–0 20. Dec -15 Inter – Lazio 1–2

Match report

Inter Lazio
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 J. Lukaku
↦ S. Lulić
65′
🔁 Felipe Anderson
↦ Luis Alberto
Davide Santon 🟨
67′
Matías Vecino 🟨
72′
João Mário 🔁
↦ A. Candreva
73′
78′
🟨 Ştefan Radu
Dalbert Henrique 🔁
↦ João Cancelo
82′
83′
🔁 Nani
↦ S. Milinković-Savić
M. Brozović 🔁
↦ Borja Valero
85′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
21 D. Santon D
13 A. Ranocchia D
7 João Cancelo D
37 M. Škriniar D
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
20 Borja Valero M
11 M. Vecino M
5 R. Gagliardini M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
10 João Mário
29 Dalbert Henrique
77 M. Brozović
17 Y. Karamoh
23 E. Martins
27 D. Padelli
46 T. Berni
55 Y. Nagatomo
98 M. Lombardoni
99 A. Pinamonti

Coach: L. Spalletti

Lazio

3-5-1-1
1 T. Strakosha G
26 Ş. Radu D
3 S. de Vrij D
15 Bastos D
77 A. Marušić M
6 Lucas Leiva M
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
18 Luis Alberto F
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
5 J. Lukaku
10 Felipe Anderson
7 Nani
4 Patric
8 D. Basta
13 Wallace
23 G. Guerrieri
25 I. Vargić
27 Luiz Felipe
30 Pedro Neto
66 Bruno Jordão
96 A. Murgia

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gianluca Rocchi · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.