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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Nimes

S T T U U

0–0

Full-time

Guingamp

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

2,2

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

2,2

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

7 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nimes 12. · Guingamp 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+15	18
2	Lille	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	St Etienne	7	3	3	1	-1	12
4	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Toulouse	7	3	2	2	-2	11
6	Marseille	6	3	1	2	+5	10
7	Lyon	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Dijon	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Angers	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Nice	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Strasbourg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Reims	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Bordeaux	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Rennes	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Monaco	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Caen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Nantes	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Amiens	6	1	1	4	-3	4
20	Guingamp	6	0	0	6	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Lille	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Lyon	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Toulouse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Rennes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Angers	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Reims	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Amiens	3	1	0	2	+1	3
14	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Dijon	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Nice	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Caen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Monaco	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Dijon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Nice	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Angers	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Nimes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	St Etienne	4	1	2	1	-3	5
8	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Lille	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Caen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Reims	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Bordeaux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Marseille	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Amiens	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.