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Ligue 1
Referee: K Abed
Bordeaux
T S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Lille
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bordeaux 14. · Lille 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 6 0 0 +15 18
2 Lille 6 4 1 1 +6 13
3 St Etienne 7 3 3 1 -1 12
4 Montpellier 6 3 2 1 +2 11
5 Toulouse 7 3 2 2 -2 11
6 Marseille 6 3 1 2 +5 10
7 Lyon 6 3 1 2 +4 10
8 Dijon 6 3 1 2 +3 10
9 Angers 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Nice 7 3 1 3 -3 10
11 Strasbourg 6 2 2 2 +1 8
12 Nimes 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Reims 6 2 2 2 -2 8
14 Bordeaux 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Rennes 6 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Monaco 7 1 3 3 -1 6
17 Caen 6 1 3 2 -2 6
18 Nantes 7 1 2 4 -5 5
19 Amiens 6 1 1 4 -3 4
20 Guingamp 6 0 0 6 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Lille
1–0 F. Kamano
S. Kalu
7′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🟨 Adama Soumaoro
57′
🔁 Luiz Araujo
↦ J. Bamba
Samuel Kalu 🟨
61′
A. Cornelius 🔁
↦ A. Tchouaméni
70′
L. Lerager 🔁
↦ Y. Sankharé
70′
73′
🔁 L. Rémy
↦ Rui Fonte
81′
🔁 Thiago Maia
↦ Xeka
Y. Karamoh 🔁
↦ F. Kamano
82′
84′
🟨 Thiago Mendes
89′
🟨 Adama Soumaoro
89′
🟥 Adama Soumaoro
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-2-3-1
1 B. Costil G
25 Pablo D
29 M. Poundjé D
3 Sergi Palencia D
5 Otávio M
4 J. Koundé D
13 Y. Sankharé M
17 A. Tchouaméni M
7 J. Briand F
11 F. Kamano F
10 S. Kalu F
Bench (7)
9 A. Cornelius
19 L. Lerager
8 Y. Karamoh
6 I. Lewczuk
12 N. de Préville
16 G. Poussin
18 J. Plašil

Coach: É. Bedouet

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
5 A. Soumaoro D
17 M. Çelik D
23 Thiago Mendes M
8 Xeka M
25 F. Ballo D
12 J. Ikoné M
10 Rui Fonte F
19 N. Pépé M
14 J. Bamba M
Bench (7)
11 Luiz Araujo
9 L. Rémy
20 Thiago Maia
1 A. Jakubech
15 Edgar Ié
22 K. Dabila
24 B. Soumaré

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.