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Serie A

Referee: Federico La Penna

Sampdoria

S S U T U

2–1

Full-time

Spal

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 5

5 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 13. · Spal 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Napoli	7	5	0	2	+3	15
3	Fiorentina	7	4	1	2	+9	13
4	Inter	7	4	1	2	+5	13
5	Sassuolo	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Lazio	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	Genoa	6	4	0	2	+0	12
8	Roma	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Parma	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	Milan	6	2	3	1	+3	9
11	Torino	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Spal	6	3	0	3	-2	9
13	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+6	8
14	Udinese	7	2	2	3	+0	8
15	Bologna	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Atalanta	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Cagliari	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Empoli	7	1	2	4	-3	5
19	Chievo	7	0	2	5	-11	2
20	Frosinone	7	0	1	6	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Genoa	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Sassuolo	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Roma	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	Parma	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Inter	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Bologna	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+3	4
13	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
14	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Cagliari	3	0	3	0	+0	3
18	Torino	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Chievo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Inter	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Torino	4	1	3	0	+1	6
4	Napoli	4	2	0	2	-2	6
5	Lazio	4	2	0	2	-2	6
6	Milan	4	1	2	1	+2	5
7	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+4	4
8	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Udinese	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Roma	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Spal	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Parma	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Genoa	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Cagliari	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Atalanta	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Empoli	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Frosinone	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.