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Serie A

Referee: Eugenio Abbattista

Spal

S S T S T

0–2

Full-time

Sassuolo

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

60%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

20%

80%

Both score Ø 40%

80%

Average goals

1,6

4,0

Scored

0,8

2,4

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

12 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

5 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 7. · Sassuolo 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	6	0	0	+9	18
2	Napoli	6	5	0	1	+5	15
3	Lazio	6	4	0	2	+3	12
4	Fiorentina	6	3	1	2	+7	10
5	Sassuolo	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Inter	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Spal	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Genoa	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+6	8
10	Roma	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Udinese	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Parma	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Atalanta	6	1	3	2	+1	6
14	Torino	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Cagliari	6	1	3	2	-3	6
16	Milan	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Bologna	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Chievo	6	0	2	4	-10	2
20	Frosinone	6	0	1	5	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Sassuolo	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Genoa	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Spal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Roma	3	1	2	0	+4	5
9	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+3	4
10	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Parma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Inter	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Cagliari	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Torino	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Bologna	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Frosinone	3	0	1	2	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Inter	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+4	4
6	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Torino	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	Roma	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Spal	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Parma	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Atalanta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Milan	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Empoli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-7	1
19	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Frosinone	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.