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Ligue 1
Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj
2–0
Full-time
Bordeaux
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gazelec FC Ajaccio Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
9%
27%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
27%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gazelec FC Ajaccio 19. · Bordeaux 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 10 2 0 +20 32
2 Angers 11 6 4 1 +6 22
3 St Etienne 12 7 1 4 +3 22
4 Caen 11 7 0 4 +0 21
5 Lyon 11 5 4 2 +8 19
6 Nice 10 5 2 3 +10 17
7 Rennes 12 4 5 3 +1 17
8 Monaco 11 4 5 2 +0 17
9 Lorient 11 4 4 3 +1 16
10 Nantes 10 5 1 4 -1 16
11 Reims 12 4 3 5 -1 15
12 Guingamp 11 4 3 4 -3 15
13 Bordeaux 11 3 5 3 -2 14
14 Marseille 11 3 3 5 +4 12
15 Lille 11 2 5 4 -1 11
16 Bastia 11 3 1 7 -6 10
17 Montpellier 11 2 2 7 -6 8
18 Toulouse 11 1 5 5 -9 8
19 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 11 1 3 7 -9 6
20 Troyes 11 0 4 7 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gazelec FC Ajaccio Bordeaux
35′
🟨 Diego Rolán
Roderic Filippi 🟨
41′
1–0 M. Larbi
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Crivelli
↦ M. Gajić
K. Mangane 🔁
↦ A. Youga
55′
Damjan Đoković 🟨
56′
Pablo Martinez 🟨
61′
61′
🟨 Enzo Crivelli
Roderic Filippi 🟨
65′
Roderic Filippi 🟥
65′
2–0 M. Larbi
J. Zoua
68′
Issiaga Sylla 🔁
↦ M. Larbi
70′
Clement Maury 🟨
73′
74′
🟨 André Poko
77′
🔁 T. Touré
↦ W. Khazri
77′
🔁 Jussiê
↦ A. Biyogo Poko
78′
🟨 Henri Saivet
I. Dia 🔁
↦ J. Zoua
83′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Gazelec FC Ajaccio

1 C. Maury G
6 D. Ducourtioux M
5 J. Bréchet D
29 A. Coeff M
4 R. Filippi D
21 P. Martinez D
10 M. Larbi M
23 D. Đoković M
18 A. Youga M
28 G. Pujol F
19 J. Zoua F
Bench (7)
15 K. Mangane
3 Issiaga Sylla
22 I. Dia
33 T. Biancardini
9 K. Boutaïb
20 L. Poggi
30 J. Goda

Bordeaux

16 C. Carrasso G
6 L. Sané D
5 N. Pallois D
29 M. Poundjé D
18 J. Plašil M
11 C. Chantôme M
24 W. Khazri F
17 A. Biyogo Poko M
2 M. Gajić D
10 H. Saivet M
9 D. Rolan F
Bench (7)
27 E. Crivelli
13 T. Touré
20 Jussiê
4 Pablo
7 A. Traoré
26 F. Guilbert
30 J. Prior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.