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Ligue 1

Referee: Antony Gautier

Caen

T S S T U

0–3

Full-time

Monaco

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 52%

31%

72%

Points per game

1,1

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

41%

83%

Both score Ø 47%

38%

55%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,1

2,9

Conceded

1,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

5 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 16. · Monaco 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	29	21	5	3	+58	68
2	Paris SG	29	20	5	4	+38	65
3	Nice	30	18	10	2	+24	64
4	Lyon	28	16	2	10	+27	50
5	Marseille	30	13	7	10	+6	46
6	Bordeaux	30	12	10	8	+5	46
7	St Etienne	29	10	11	8	+9	41
8	Rennes	30	9	12	9	-5	39
9	Angers	30	11	6	13	-7	39
10	Guingamp	30	10	8	12	-2	38
11	Nantes	30	10	8	12	-16	38
12	Toulouse	30	9	10	11	-1	37
13	Metz	29	9	8	12	-24	35
14	Lille	30	9	7	14	-8	34
15	Montpellier	30	8	9	13	-11	33
16	Caen	29	9	5	15	-17	32
17	Dijon	29	6	10	13	-8	28
18	Nancy	30	7	7	16	-19	28
19	Bastia	30	5	10	15	-20	25
20	Lorient	30	7	4	19	-29	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	15	13	1	1	+41	40
2	Nice	15	11	4	0	+20	37
3	Lyon	15	11	0	4	+23	33
4	Marseille	15	10	3	2	+14	33
5	Paris SG	14	9	5	0	+23	32
6	Rennes	15	8	5	2	+9	29
7	Toulouse	15	8	3	4	+11	27
8	St Etienne	15	7	6	2	+11	27
9	Guingamp	14	8	3	3	+10	27
10	Montpellier	15	7	5	3	+10	26
11	Angers	15	7	5	3	+8	26
12	Bordeaux	16	7	5	4	+3	26
13	Metz	14	6	5	3	-4	23
14	Caen	14	7	2	5	-4	23
15	Dijon	14	5	5	4	+5	20
16	Nantes	15	5	4	6	-9	19
17	Bastia	15	3	9	3	+1	18
18	Lille	15	5	3	7	-3	18
19	Nancy	15	5	2	8	-4	17
20	Lorient	15	5	2	8	-9	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	11	0	4	+15	33
2	Monaco	14	8	4	2	+17	28
3	Nice	15	7	6	2	+4	27
4	Bordeaux	14	5	5	4	+2	20
5	Nantes	15	5	4	6	-7	19
6	Lyon	13	5	2	6	+4	17
7	Lille	15	4	4	7	-5	16
8	St Etienne	14	3	5	6	-2	14
9	Marseille	15	3	4	8	-8	13
10	Angers	15	4	1	10	-15	13
11	Metz	15	3	3	9	-20	12
12	Guingamp	16	2	5	9	-12	11
13	Nancy	15	2	5	8	-15	11
14	Toulouse	15	1	7	7	-12	10
15	Rennes	15	1	7	7	-14	10
16	Caen	15	2	3	10	-13	9
17	Dijon	15	1	5	9	-13	8
18	Lorient	15	2	2	11	-20	8
19	Montpellier	15	1	4	10	-21	7
20	Bastia	15	2	1	12	-21	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.