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Ligue 1

Referee: Ruddy Buquet

St Etienne

S S T S T

0–1

Full-time

Caen

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 35%

38%

31%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

35%

38%

Both score Ø 39%

42%

35%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

12 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 6. · Caen 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	27	19	5	3	+53	62
2	Nice	27	17	8	2	+23	59
3	Paris SG	26	17	5	4	+32	56
4	Lyon	25	14	1	10	+18	43
5	Bordeaux	27	11	9	7	+2	42
6	St Etienne	26	10	9	7	+10	39
7	Marseille	26	11	6	9	+4	39
8	Rennes	27	9	9	9	-5	36
9	Toulouse	27	9	8	10	+3	35
10	Guingamp	27	9	7	11	-4	34
11	Angers	27	9	6	12	-8	33
12	Nantes	26	9	6	11	-13	33
13	Montpellier	27	8	8	11	-6	32
14	Metz	25	8	6	11	-20	30
15	Lille	27	8	5	14	-9	29
16	Nancy	27	7	7	13	-16	28
17	Caen	26	8	4	14	-17	28
18	Dijon	27	6	9	12	-7	27
19	Bastia	26	5	8	13	-14	23
20	Lorient	27	6	4	17	-26	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	14	11	3	0	+20	36
2	Monaco	13	11	1	1	+36	34
3	Marseille	13	9	3	1	+15	30
4	Paris SG	13	8	5	0	+22	29
5	Rennes	14	8	4	2	+9	28
6	Lyon	13	9	0	4	+14	27
7	St Etienne	13	7	5	1	+12	26
8	Toulouse	13	8	1	4	+11	25
9	Montpellier	13	7	4	2	+11	25
10	Guingamp	13	7	3	3	+5	24
11	Angers	14	6	5	3	+5	23
12	Caen	13	7	2	4	-3	23
13	Bordeaux	14	6	4	4	-1	22
14	Dijon	13	5	5	3	+6	20
15	Metz	12	5	4	3	-5	19
16	Nantes	14	5	3	6	-9	18
17	Nancy	13	5	2	6	-2	17
18	Lille	14	5	2	7	-3	17
19	Lorient	13	5	2	6	-5	17
20	Bastia	13	3	7	3	+1	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	14	8	4	2	+17	28
2	Paris SG	13	9	0	4	+10	27
3	Nice	13	6	5	2	+3	23
4	Bordeaux	13	5	5	3	+3	20
5	Lyon	12	5	1	6	+4	16
6	Nantes	12	4	3	5	-4	15
7	St Etienne	13	3	4	6	-2	13
8	Lille	13	3	3	7	-6	12
9	Nancy	14	2	5	7	-14	11
10	Metz	13	3	2	8	-15	11
11	Toulouse	14	1	7	6	-8	10
12	Guingamp	14	2	4	8	-9	10
13	Angers	13	3	1	9	-13	10
14	Marseille	13	2	3	8	-11	9
15	Rennes	13	1	5	7	-14	8
16	Dijon	14	1	4	9	-13	7
17	Bastia	13	2	1	10	-15	7
18	Montpellier	14	1	4	9	-17	7
19	Caen	13	1	2	10	-14	5
20	Lorient	14	1	2	11	-21	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.