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Ligue 1
Referee: Clement Turpin
Paris SG
S U S S S
2–1
Full-time
Lyon
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
2,2
3,2
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 29/28 matches
Win Ø 63%
69%
57%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
55%
64%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,1
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 10
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 2. · Lyon 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 30 22 5 3 +61 71
2 Paris SG 29 20 5 4 +38 65
3 Nice 30 18 10 2 +24 64
4 Lyon 28 16 2 10 +27 50
5 Marseille 30 13 7 10 +6 46
6 Bordeaux 30 12 10 8 +5 46
7 St Etienne 30 11 11 8 +10 44
8 Rennes 30 9 12 9 -5 39
9 Angers 30 11 6 13 -7 39
10 Guingamp 30 10 8 12 -2 38
11 Nantes 30 10 8 12 -16 38
12 Toulouse 30 9 10 11 -1 37
13 Metz 29 9 8 12 -24 35
14 Lille 30 9 7 14 -8 34
15 Montpellier 30 8 9 13 -11 33
16 Caen 30 9 5 16 -20 32
17 Dijon 30 6 10 14 -9 28
18 Nancy 30 7 7 16 -19 28
19 Bastia 30 5 10 15 -20 25
20 Lorient 30 7 4 19 -29 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Lyon
6′
A. Lacazette 0–1
Rafael
Adrien Rabiot 🟨
16′
Edinson Cavani 🟨
20′
1–1 A. Rabiot
J. Pastore
34′
2–1 J. Draxler
J. Pastore
40′
Half-time 2–1
52′
🔁 Sergi Darder
↦ A. Lacazette
B. Matuidi 🔁
↦ J. Draxler
54′
64′
🟨 Maxime Gonalons
64′
🔁 R. Ghezzal
↦ M. Valbuena
77′
🔁 M. Cornet
↦ M. Depay
Lucas Moura 🔁
↦ J. Pastore
79′
T. Motta 🔁
↦ M. Verratti
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 K. Trapp G
17 Maxwell D
2 Thiago Silva D
19 S. Aurier D
5 Marquinhos D
11 Á. di María F
10 J. Pastore M
6 M. Verratti M
23 J. Draxler M
25 A. Rabiot M
9 E. Cavani F
Bench (7)
14 B. Matuidi
7 Lucas Moura
8 T. Motta
15 Goncalo Guedes
16 A. Areola
20 L. Kurzawa
21 H. Ben Arfa

Coach: Unai Emery

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
15 J. Morel D
2 M. Yanga-Mbiwa D
20 Rafael D
5 M. Diakhaby D
28 M. Valbuena M
21 M. Gonalons M
8 C. Tolisso M
10 A. Lacazette F
9 M. Depay F
18 N. Fekir M
Bench (7)
14 Sergi Darder
11 R. Ghezzal
27 M. Cornet
12 J. Ferri
13 C. Jallet
29 L. Tousart
30 M. Gorgelin

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Clement Turpin · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.