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Ligue 1
Referee: Frank Schneider
Lille
T T U U T
0–4
Full-time
Monaco
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
4,2
Scored
0,7
2,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
4,2
Scored
0,7
2,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%
11 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 17. · Monaco 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 Monaco 6 5 0 1 +9 15
3 St Etienne 6 4 1 1 +3 13
4 Bordeaux 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Lyon 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 Nice 7 3 1 3 +2 10
7 Marseille 6 3 1 2 -1 10
8 Nantes 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Caen 6 3 0 3 +1 9
10 Guingamp 6 3 0 3 -1 9
11 Angers 7 1 5 1 +1 8
12 Montpellier 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 -4 7
14 Amiens 6 2 0 4 -5 6
15 Rennes 6 1 2 3 -1 5
16 Troyes 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Lille 6 1 2 3 -3 5
18 Dijon 6 1 1 4 -7 4
19 Strasbourg 6 1 1 4 -7 4
20 Metz 6 1 0 5 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Monaco
24′
S. Jovetić 0–1
30′
R. Ghezzal 0–2
A. Touré
Half-time 0–2
I. Faraj 🔁
↦ Luiz Araujo
46′
48′
R. Falcao 0–3
F. Bahlouli 🔁
↦ A. El Ghazi
57′
60′
🟨 Rachid Ghezzal
66′
🔁 A. Diakhaby
↦ S. Jovetić
E. Ponce 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
69′
70′
🟨 Jemerson
73′
R. Falcao 0–4
79′
🔁 T. Lemar
↦ R. Ghezzal
85′
🔁 G. Carrillo
↦ R. Falcao
Ezequiel Ponce 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Lille

5-4-1
16 M. Maignan G
15 Edgar Ié D
3 J. Alonso D
6 I. Amadou M
20 Thiago Maia M
21 Y. Bissouma M
29 K. N'Guessan M
10 Y. Benzia M
19 N. Pépé M
11 Luiz Araujo M
7 A. El Ghazi M
Bench (7)
14 I. Faraj
26 F. Bahlouli
9 E. Ponce
33 B. Soumaré
35 S. Sadzoute
23 Thiago Mendes
30 K. Koffi

Coach: M. Bielsa

Monaco

4-4-2
16 D. Benaglio G
25 K. Glik D
38 A. Touré D
5 Jemerson D
6 Jorge D
8 João Moutinho M
20 Rony Lopes M
2 Fabinho M
9 R. Falcao F
10 S. Jovetić F
7 R. Ghezzal M
Bench (7)
15 A. Diakhaby
27 T. Lemar
11 G. Carrillo
24 A. Raggi
28 Adama Traoré II
30 S. Sy
17 Y. Tielemans

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Frank Schneider · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.