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Ligue 1
Referee: Ruddy Buquet
Monaco
S S S S S
6–1
Full-time
Marseille
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 2. · Marseille 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Monaco 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 St Etienne 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Lyon 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Bordeaux 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Marseille 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Angers 4 1 3 0 +2 6
8 Caen 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Guingamp 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Toulouse 4 2 0 2 -3 6
11 Troyes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Montpellier 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Lille 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Strasbourg 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Nantes 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Dijon 4 1 1 2 -5 4
17 Nice 4 1 0 3 -3 3
18 Amiens 4 1 0 3 -4 3
19 Rennes 4 0 2 2 -2 2
20 Metz 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Marseille
1–0 K. Glik
T. Lemar
2′
4′
🟨 Morgan Sanson
2–0 R. Falcao
20′
Kamil Glik 🟨
28′
34′
🟨 Luiz Gustavo
3–0 R. Falcao
A. Diakhaby
34′
43′
🟨 Tomáš Hubočan
4–0 A. Diakhaby
Rony Lopes
45′
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 R. Cabella
↦ J. Amavi
46′
🔁 M. Lopez
↦ Dória
Fabinho 🟨
56′
Y. Tielemans 🔁
↦ A. Diakhaby
62′
5–0 D. Sidibé
68′
75′
R. Cabella 5–1
F. Thauvin
77′
🔁 A. Zambo Anguissa
↦ M. Sanson
G. Carrillo 🔁
↦ R. Falcao
78′
6–1 Fabinho
79′
A. Touré 🔁
↦ D. Sidibé
80′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-2
1 D. Subašić G
25 K. Glik D
19 D. Sidibé D
5 Jemerson D
6 Jorge D
8 João Moutinho M
27 T. Lemar M
20 Rony Lopes M
2 Fabinho M
9 R. Falcao F
15 A. Diakhaby F
Bench (7)
17 Y. Tielemans
11 G. Carrillo
38 A. Touré
7 R. Ghezzal
16 D. Benaglio
10 K. Mbappé
24 A. Raggi

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Marseille

5-4-1
30 S. Mandanda G
6 Rolando D
15 T. Hubočan D
2 H. Sakai D
3 Dória D
18 J. Amavi D
19 Luiz Gustavo M
22 G. Sertic M
8 M. Sanson M
28 V. Germain F
26 F. Thauvin M
Bench (7)
7 R. Cabella
27 M. Lopez
29 A. Zambo Anguissa
17 B. Sarr
21 P. Evra
16 Y. Pelé
33 Y. Sari

Coach: R. Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ruddy Buquet · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.