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Ligue 1
Referee: Francois Letexier
Nice
T S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Angers
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

64% Possession 36%
17 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 8. · Angers 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 Monaco 6 5 0 1 +9 15
3 St Etienne 6 4 1 1 +3 13
4 Bordeaux 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Lyon 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 Marseille 6 3 1 2 -1 10
7 Nantes 6 3 1 2 -1 10
8 Nice 6 3 0 3 +2 9
9 Caen 6 3 0 3 +1 9
10 Guingamp 6 3 0 3 -1 9
11 Angers 6 1 4 1 +1 7
12 Montpellier 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 -4 7
14 Amiens 6 2 0 4 -5 6
15 Rennes 6 1 2 3 -1 5
16 Troyes 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Lille 6 1 2 3 -3 5
18 Dijon 6 1 1 4 -7 4
19 Strasbourg 6 1 1 4 -7 4
20 Metz 6 1 0 5 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Angers
12′
M. Pavlović 0–1
A. Fulgini
34′
K. Toko Ekambi 0–2
Y. Andreu
1–2 M. Balotelli
39′
40′
🟨 Mehdi Tahrat
Half-time 1–2
Maxime Le Marchand 🟨
46′
51′
🔁 B. Santamaría
↦ M. Tahrat
60′
🔁 P. Capelle
↦ A. Fulgini
Mario Balotelli 🟨
63′
A. Tameze 🔁
↦ V. Koziello
69′
Yoan Cardinale 🟨
71′
75′
🟨 Mateo Pavlović
1–3 I. Traoré
own goal
76′
79′
🔁 G. Sunu
↦ F. Tait
Dante 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Nice

4-4-2
30 Y. Cardinale G
24 C. Jallet D
31 Dante D
20 M. Le Marchand D
2 A. Souquet D
21 N. Mendy M
7 A. Saint-Maximin F
8 P. Lees Melou M
26 V. Koziello M
9 M. Balotelli F
14 A. Pléa F
Bench (7)
5 A. Tameze
33 I. Ganago
10 W. Sneijder
18 R. Walter
22 A. Lusamba
23 M. Sarr
40 W. Benítez

Coach: L. Favre

Angers

5-4-1
30 A. Letellier G
4 M. Pavlović D
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 Y. Andreu D
26 M. Tahrat D
5 T. Mangani M
20 F. Tait M
23 A. Fulgini M
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
Bench (7)
18 B. Santamaría
15 P. Capelle
10 G. Sunu
12 L. Coulibaly
1 M. Michel
19 B. Guillaume
25 A. Bamba

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Francois Letexier · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.