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Bundesliga
Referee: Christian Dingert
Bayern Munich
S S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,7
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
80%
20%
Points per game
2,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
2,4
0,6
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 2. · Wolfsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 5 4 1 0 +13 13
2 Bayern Munich 5 4 0 1 +9 12
3 Hoffenheim 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Hannover 5 3 2 0 +4 11
5 Augsburg 5 3 1 1 +4 10
6 Schalke 04 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 M'gladbach 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Hertha 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 RB Leipzig 5 2 1 2 +2 7
10 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Hamburg 5 2 0 3 -4 6
12 Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 -4 6
13 Wolfsburg 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Leverkusen 5 1 1 3 -1 4
15 Mainz 5 1 0 4 -5 3
16 Freiburg 5 0 3 2 -7 3
17 Werder Bremen 5 0 2 3 -4 2
18 FC Koln 5 0 0 5 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Wolfsburg
Arturo Vidal 🟨
13′
18′
🟨 Marcel Tisserand
25′
🟨 William
1–0 R. Lewandowski
33′
2–0 A. Robben
Rafinha
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Błaszczykowski
↦ William
56′
M. Arnold 2–1
C. Tolisso 🔁
↦ A. Vidal
63′
73′
🔁 D. Didavi
↦ Ignacio Camacho
83′
D. Didavi 2–2
P. Verhaegh
J. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ A. Robben
85′
85′
🔁 R. Bazoer
↦ D. Origi
K. Coman 🔁
↦ F. Ribéry
86′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
26 S. Ulreich G
13 Rafinha D
17 J. Boateng D
5 M. Hummels D
10 A. Robben M
7 F. Ribéry M
23 A. Vidal M
19 S. Rudy M
32 J. Kimmich D
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (7)
24 C. Tolisso
11 J. Rodríguez
29 K. Coman
4 N. Süle
8 Javi Martínez
34 M. Friedl
36 C. Früchtl

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Wolfsburg

4-1-4-1
1 K. Casteels G
3 P. Verhaegh D
29 M. Tisserand D
17 F. Uduokhai D
2 William D
35 G. Itter D
4 Ignacio Camacho M
23 J. Guilavogui M
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
14 D. Origi F
Bench (7)
16 J. Błaszczykowski
11 D. Didavi
6 R. Bazoer
7 P. Ntep
20 M. Grün
31 R. Knoche
32 K. Hinds

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.