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Ligue 1
Referee: Mikael Lesage
Monaco
S U T S S
6–0
Full-time
Guingamp
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
73%
36%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
3,6
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 2. · Guingamp 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 10 2 0 +31 32
2 Monaco 11 8 1 2 +16 25
3 Lyon 11 6 4 1 +12 22
4 Marseille 11 6 3 2 +4 21
5 Nantes 11 6 2 3 +1 20
6 St Etienne 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Caen 11 6 0 5 +0 18
8 Bordeaux 12 4 4 4 -2 16
9 Montpellier 11 4 3 4 +1 15
10 Rennes 12 4 3 5 -1 15
11 Toulouse 11 4 3 4 -4 15
12 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 -2 14
13 Angers 12 2 7 3 -3 13
14 Dijon 11 3 3 5 -6 12
15 Troyes 11 3 3 5 -6 12
16 Nice 11 3 1 7 -6 10
17 Amiens 10 3 1 6 -6 10
18 Strasbourg 11 2 4 5 -7 10
19 Lille 10 1 3 6 -9 6
20 Metz 11 1 0 10 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Guingamp
1–0 G. Carrillo
A. Touré
10′
2–0 Adama Traoré II
A. Touré
27′
34′
🟨 Lucas Deaux
3–0 K. Baldé
Rony Lopes
36′
Half-time 4–0
4–0 Fabinho
46′
D. Benaglio 🔁
↦ D. Subašić
46′
46′
🔁 Pedro Rebocho
↦ F. Tabanou
46′
🔁 J. Briand
↦ M. Diallo
Almamy Touré 🟨
70′
5–0 Adama Traoré II
A. Touré
75′
R. Ghezzal 🔁
↦ Rony Lopes
77′
6–0 G. Carrillo
R. Ghezzal
78′
79′
🔁 L. Phiri
↦ M. Coco
Boschilia 🔁
↦ K. Baldé
80′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 D. Subašić G
24 A. Raggi D
25 K. Glik D
38 A. Touré D
6 Jorge D
20 Rony Lopes M
2 Fabinho M
17 Y. Tielemans M
28 Adama Traoré II M
11 G. Carrillo F
14 K. Baldé F
Bench (7)
16 D. Benaglio
7 R. Ghezzal
26 Boschilia
10 S. Jovetić
15 A. Diakhaby
22 Jordi Mboula
35 K. N'Doram

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Guingamp

4-3-3
1 K. Johnsson G
22 J. Martins-Pereira D
27 F. Tabanou D
29 C. Kerbrat D
20 F. Eboa Eboa D
5 M. Diallo M
8 L. Deaux M
24 M. Coco M
7 L. Blas M
9 Abdoul Camara M
21 M. Thuram F
Bench (7)
3 Pedro Rebocho
23 J. Briand
18 L. Phiri
11 S. Privat
15 J. Sorbon
16 M. Caillard
26 T. Giresse

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mikael Lesage · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.