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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Lyon
T S S T S
0–1
Full-time
Nice
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
29 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 9
10 Corners 5
5 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyon 4. · Nice 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Dijon 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Lille 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Lyon 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Nimes 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Reims 3 2 0 1 -1 6
7 Toulouse 3 2 0 1 -2 6
8 St Etienne 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Marseille 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Monaco 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Strasbourg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Montpellier 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Rennes 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Amiens 3 1 0 2 +0 3
15 Bordeaux 3 1 0 2 -2 3
16 Caen 3 0 2 1 -3 2
17 Nantes 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Nice 3 0 1 2 -5 1
19 Angers 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Guingamp 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyon Nice
40′
🟨 Adrien Tameze
42′
🟨 Mario Balotelli
Half-time 0–1
50′
A. Saint-Maximin 0–1
W. Cyprien
M. Cornet 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
68′
76′
🔁 M. Maolida
↦ M. Balotelli
Pape Diop 🔁
↦ L. Tousart
79′
H. Aouar 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
84′
85′
🔁 R. Coly
↦ A. Saint-Maximin
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
4 Rafael D
22 F. Mendy D
5 J. Denayer D
28 T. NDombèlé M
29 L. Tousart M
7 M. Terrier F
10 B. Traoré F
11 M. Depay F
18 N. Fekir M
Bench (7)
27 M. Cornet
24 Pape Diop
8 H. Aouar
12 J. Ferri
15 J. Morel
23 K. Tete
30 M. Gorgelin

Coach: B. Génésio

Nice

5-3-2
40 W. Benítez G
24 C. Jallet D
31 Dante D
29 C. Hérelle D
28 O. Boscagli D
23 M. Sarr D
5 A. Tameze M
25 W. Cyprien M
7 A. Saint-Maximin F
8 P. Lees Melou M
9 M. Balotelli F
Bench (7)
26 M. Maolida
12 R. Coly
16 Y. Clementia
6 R. Walter
11 B. Srarfi
15 P. Burner
27 J. Makengo

Coach: P. Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.