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La Liga
Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias
Villarreal
T S U T U
0–1
Full-time
Girona
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 14. · Girona 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Sevilla 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Huesca 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Sociedad 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Celta 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Levante 2 1 0 1 +2 3
12 Valladolid 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 Leganes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Villarreal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Valencia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Girona 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Alaves 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Betis 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Eibar 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Vallecano 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Girona
23′
🟨 Pedro Alcala
Half-time 0–1
54′
C. Stuani 0–1
Borja García
56′
🟨 Aday Benítez
59′
🔁 Aleix García
↦ A. Lozano
C. Bacca 🔁
↦ S. Cáseres
66′
Manu Trigueros 🟨
75′
M. Layún 🔁
↦ Santi Cazorla
75′
78′
🔁 Muniesa
↦ Aday
81′
🔁 P. Roberts
↦ Borja García
N. Sansone 🔁
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
82′
Mario Gaspar 🟨
85′
Nicola Sansone 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-3-1-2
1 Sergio Asenjo G
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
3 Álvaro González D
19 Santi Cazorla M
14 Trigueros M
16 Alfonso Pedraza M
8 Pablo Fornals M
5 S. Cáseres M
7 Gerard Moreno F
17 K. Toko Ekambi F
Bench (7)
9 C. Bacca
24 M. Layún
10 N. Sansone
4 Ramiro Funes Mori
11 Jaume Costa
13 Andrés Fernández
28 Manu Morlanes

Coach: Javi Calleja

Girona

3-4-3
13 Y. Bounou G
2 B. Espinosa D
5 Alcalá D
15 Juanpe D
10 Borja García F
11 Aday M
6 Álex Granell M
8 Pere Pons M
29 Pedro Porro M
7 C. Stuani F
19 A. Lozano F
Bench (7)
23 Aleix García
20 Muniesa
17 P. Roberts
22 S. Doumbia
27 K. Soni
28 Èric Montes
36 Marc Vito

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eduardo Prieto Iglesias · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.