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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Caen

T T T U T

1–1

Full-time

Nice

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

13 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 10

4 Offside 0

22 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 19. · Nice 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	+5	6
2	Reims	2	2	0	+2	6
3	Marseille	1	1	0	+4	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Strasbourg	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Nimes	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Lyon	2	1	1	+1	3
9	St Etienne	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Dijon	1	1	0	+1	3
11	Angers	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Montpellier	1	0	1	-1	0
13	Nice	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Rennes	1	0	1	-2	0
15	Nantes	1	0	1	-2	0
16	Amiens	1	0	1	-2	0
17	Bordeaux	1	0	1	-2	0
18	Guingamp	2	0	2	-3	0
19	Caen	1	0	1	-3	0
20	Toulouse	1	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	+4	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	+2	3
5	St Etienne	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Reims	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Angers	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Montpellier	1	0	1	-1	0
9	Nice	1	0	1	-1	0
10	Nantes	1	0	1	-2	0
11	Guingamp	1	0	1	-2	0
12	Bordeaux	1	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	+2	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Strasbourg	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Nimes	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Dijon	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Reims	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Guingamp	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Lyon	1	0	1	-1	0
9	Rennes	1	0	1	-2	0
10	Amiens	1	0	1	-2	0
11	Caen	1	0	1	-3	0
12	Toulouse	1	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.