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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Guimaraes

S T T T S

1–0

Full-time

Tondela

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Tondela

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

6 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 10

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Guimaraes 12. · Tondela 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Feirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Porto	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Nacional	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Chaves	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Santa Clara	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Tondela	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Aves	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Porto	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Nacional	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.