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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Nantes
U U T S T
2–0
Full-time
Montpellier
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
29%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
59%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
59%
47%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nantes 14. · Montpellier 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 15 2 0 +40 47
2 Lille 19 10 4 5 +10 34
3 Lyon 18 9 5 4 +9 32
4 Montpellier 17 8 6 3 +12 30
5 St Etienne 18 8 6 4 +6 30
6 Marseille 17 8 3 6 +4 27
7 Strasbourg 19 6 8 5 +7 26
8 Rennes 18 7 5 6 +2 26
9 Reims 19 6 8 5 -3 26
10 Nice 18 7 5 6 -4 26
11 Nimes 18 6 5 7 -2 23
12 Bordeaux 17 5 7 5 +0 22
13 Toulouse 18 5 6 7 -10 21
14 Nantes 17 5 5 7 -1 20
15 Angers 17 4 7 6 -2 19
16 Caen 19 3 9 7 -6 18
17 Amiens 18 5 2 11 -14 17
18 Dijon 18 4 4 10 -15 16
19 Monaco 18 3 4 11 -13 13
20 Guingamp 18 2 5 11 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Montpellier
11′
🟨 Pedro Mendes
19′
🟥 Gaëtan Laborde
Half-time 0–0
A. Limbombe 🔁
↦ K. Mbodji
57′
1–0 A. Waris
V. Rongier
62′
Abdoulaye Touré 🟨
64′
70′
🔁 F. Mollet
↦ S. Sambia
70′
🔁 P. Škuletić
↦ A. Oyongo
2–0 N. Pallois
81′
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ E. Sala
82′
86′
🔁 P. Lasne
↦ D. Le Tallec
S. Moutoussamy 🔁
↦ A. Waris
87′
88′
🟨 Paul Lasne
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Nantes

3-5-2
30 C. Tătărușanu G
6 Lucas Lima D
4 N. Pallois D
5 K. Mbodji D
3 Diego Carlos D
25 E. Kwateng D
20 Andrei Girotto M
19 A. Touré M
28 V. Rongier M
10 A. Waris F
9 E. Sala F
Bench (7)
22 A. Limbombe
7 K. Coulibaly
18 S. Moutoussamy
1 M. Dupé
2 Fábio
13 M. Miazga
17 Lucas Evangelista

Coach: V. Halilhodžić

Montpellier

3-4-1-2
40 B. Lecomte G
3 D. Congré D
4 Hilton D
5 Pedro Mendes D
8 A. Oyongo M
2 R. Aguilar M
14 D. Le Tallec M
13 E. Skhiri M
6 S. Sambia M
11 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde F
Bench (7)
25 F. Mollet
32 P. Škuletić
7 P. Lasne
16 D. Bertaud
19 S. Camara
23 F. Píriz
31 N. Cozza

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.