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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Angers
T U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Montpellier
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
25%
58%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 15. · Montpellier 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 12 0 0 +34 36
2 Lille 13 8 2 3 +11 26
3 Montpellier 12 7 4 1 +13 25
4 Lyon 13 7 3 3 +7 24
5 St Etienne 12 5 5 2 +0 20
6 Marseille 12 6 1 5 +1 19
7 Strasbourg 13 4 6 3 +4 18
8 Reims 12 4 5 3 -2 17
9 Nice 12 5 2 5 -5 17
10 Nantes 12 4 3 5 +2 15
11 Bordeaux 12 4 3 5 -1 15
12 Rennes 12 4 3 5 -3 15
13 Nimes 12 3 5 4 -1 14
14 Toulouse 12 3 5 4 -9 14
15 Angers 12 3 3 6 -3 12
16 Caen 12 2 5 5 -5 11
17 Dijon 12 3 2 7 -9 11
18 Amiens 12 3 1 8 -9 10
19 Monaco 12 1 4 7 -6 7
20 Guingamp 13 1 4 8 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Montpellier
12′
🟨 Gaëtan Laborde
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Andy Delort
53′
🔁 F. Píriz
↦ D. Le Tallec
1–0 R. Thomas
P. Capelle
69′
76′
🔁 P. Škuletić
↦ F. Mollet
Cristian López 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
77′
F. El Melali 🔁
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
77′
82′
🔁 S. Sambia
↦ P. Lasne
T. Mangani 🔁
↦ F. Tait
86′
Cheikh N'Doye 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Angers

3-5-1-1
16 L. Butelle G
4 M. Pavlović D
24 R. Thomas D
29 V. Manceau D
25 A. Bamba D
15 P. Capelle M
17 C. N'Doye M
20 F. Tait M
18 B. Santamaría M
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
9 Cristian López
28 F. El Melali
5 T. Mangani
1 Z. Boucher
2 R. Aït Nouri
6 V. Pajot
11 W. Kanga

Coach: S. Moulin

Montpellier

3-4-2-1
40 B. Lecomte G
3 D. Congré D
4 Hilton D
2 R. Aguilar M
31 N. Cozza D
14 D. Le Tallec M
7 P. Lasne M
25 F. Mollet M
13 E. Skhiri M
11 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde F
Bench (7)
23 F. Píriz
32 P. Škuletić
6 S. Sambia
16 D. Bertaud
17 J. Porsan-Clemente
19 S. Camara
21 K. Kaïboué

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.