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Ligue 1

Referee: Stephane Jochem

Nantes

U S T T T

0–2

Full-time

Montpellier

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 32%

33%

30%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

36%

45%

Both score Ø 39%

36%

42%

Average goals

2,0

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

9 Shots 11

0 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 6

5 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 10. · Montpellier 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	34	27	5	2	+71	86
2	Lyon	34	16	8	10	+20	56
3	Monaco	33	14	13	6	+8	55
4	Nice	34	15	9	10	+13	54
5	St Etienne	34	16	6	12	+6	54
6	Lille	34	13	13	8	+10	52
7	Rennes	33	13	12	8	+8	51
8	Angers	34	13	10	11	+5	49
9	Caen	34	14	4	16	-15	46
10	Nantes	33	11	11	11	-5	44
11	Lorient	34	10	13	11	-6	43
12	Bastia	34	12	7	15	-7	43
13	Bordeaux	34	10	13	11	-11	43
14	Marseille	33	8	16	9	+5	40
15	Guingamp	33	10	9	14	-10	39
16	Montpellier	33	10	7	16	-4	37
17	Reims	34	9	9	16	-12	36
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	34	7	13	14	-16	34
19	Toulouse	34	7	12	15	-11	33
20	Troyes	34	3	8	23	-49	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	13	3	1	+39	42
2	Lyon	17	10	4	3	+20	34
3	Nice	17	10	2	5	+12	32
4	Bastia	18	10	2	6	+8	32
5	Lille	17	9	4	4	+10	31
6	St Etienne	16	9	3	4	+9	30
7	Monaco	16	7	6	3	+7	27
8	Bordeaux	17	7	6	4	+4	27
9	Angers	17	6	8	3	+7	26
10	Nantes	16	7	5	4	+2	26
11	Caen	17	8	2	7	-5	26
12	Lorient	17	6	7	4	+5	25
13	Guingamp	17	6	6	5	+4	24
14	Rennes	16	6	6	4	+4	24
15	Reims	17	6	5	6	+3	23
16	Toulouse	17	5	7	5	+8	22
17	Montpellier	17	7	0	10	-2	21
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	17	4	7	6	-6	19
19	Marseille	17	2	10	5	+2	16
20	Troyes	17	1	6	10	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	14	2	1	+32	44
2	Monaco	17	7	7	3	+1	28
3	Rennes	17	7	6	4	+4	27
4	Marseille	16	6	6	4	+3	24
5	St Etienne	18	7	3	8	-3	24
6	Angers	17	7	2	8	-2	23
7	Nice	17	5	7	5	+1	22
8	Lyon	17	6	4	7	+0	22
9	Lille	17	4	9	4	+0	21
10	Caen	17	6	2	9	-10	20
11	Nantes	17	4	6	7	-7	18
12	Lorient	17	4	6	7	-11	18
13	Montpellier	16	3	7	6	-2	16
14	Bordeaux	17	3	7	7	-15	16
15	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	17	3	6	8	-10	15
16	Guingamp	16	4	3	9	-14	15
17	Reims	17	3	4	10	-15	13
18	Bastia	16	2	5	9	-15	11
19	Toulouse	17	2	5	10	-19	11
20	Troyes	17	2	2	13	-28	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.