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Ligue 1
Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry
Montpellier
T S T U T
0–1
Full-time
Nantes
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,8
1,3
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 14. · Nantes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 5 5 0 0 +16 15
2 Monaco 5 4 0 1 +6 12
3 Bordeaux 5 2 3 0 +3 9
4 St Etienne 4 3 0 1 +2 9
5 Lyon 4 2 2 0 +5 8
6 Marseille 4 2 1 1 -1 7
7 Angers 4 1 3 0 +2 6
8 Nice 5 2 0 3 +1 6
9 Caen 4 2 0 2 +1 6
10 Guingamp 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Toulouse 4 2 0 2 -3 6
12 Lille 5 1 2 2 -2 5
13 Troyes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Montpellier 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Strasbourg 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Nantes 4 1 1 2 -3 4
17 Dijon 4 1 1 2 -5 4
18 Amiens 4 1 0 3 -4 3
19 Rennes 4 0 2 2 -2 2
20 Metz 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Nantes
Nordi Mukiele 🟨
33′
42′
🟨 Emiliano Sala
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 N. Gandi
↦ Lucas Lima
K. Dolly 🔁
↦ J. Ikoné
65′
69′
🟨 Najib Gandi
71′
🔁 Y. El Ghanassy
↦ J. Iloki
C. Ninga 🔁
↦ I. Mbenza
72′
74′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ E. Sala
76′
Diego Carlos 0–1
S. Camara 🔁
↦ K. Bérigaud
82′
Giovanni Sio 🟥
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-4-2
40 B. Lecomte G
4 Hilton D
5 Pedro Mendes D
24 J. Roussillon D
23 N. Mukiele D
7 P. Lasne M
13 E. Skhiri M
9 J. Ikoné M
11 K. Bérigaud F
14 G. Sio F
18 I. Mbenza M
Bench (7)
20 K. Dolly
29 C. Ninga
19 S. Camara
1 L. Pionnier
2 R. Aguilar
3 D. Congré
6 S. Sambia

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Nantes

4-2-3-1
30 C. Tătărușanu G
6 Lucas Lima D
4 N. Pallois D
5 K. Djidji D
15 L. Dubois D
3 Diego Carlos D
20 Andrei Girotto M
8 A. Thomasson M
7 J. Iloki M
19 A. Touré M
9 E. Sala F
Bench (7)
29 N. Gandi
14 Y. El Ghanassy
26 K. Coulibaly
1 M. Dupé
11 A. Kačaniklić
12 C. Awaziem
21 R. Krhin

Coach: C. Ranieri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jerome Miguelgorry · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.