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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Amiens
T T S U U
0–3
Full-time
Paris SG
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 19/17 matches
Win Ø 57%
26%
88%
Points per game
0,9
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
53%
76%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,9
2,9
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%
4 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 17. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 15 2 0 +40 47
2 Lille 20 11 4 5 +12 37
3 Lyon 19 9 6 4 +9 33
4 Montpellier 18 8 6 4 +10 30
5 St Etienne 18 8 6 4 +6 30
6 Marseille 17 8 3 6 +4 27
7 Reims 20 6 9 5 -3 27
8 Strasbourg 19 6 8 5 +7 26
9 Rennes 18 7 5 6 +2 26
10 Nice 18 7 5 6 -4 26
11 Nantes 18 6 5 7 +1 23
12 Nimes 18 6 5 7 -2 23
13 Bordeaux 17 5 7 5 +0 22
14 Toulouse 18 5 6 7 -10 21
15 Angers 18 4 8 6 -2 20
16 Caen 20 3 9 8 -8 18
17 Amiens 19 5 3 11 -14 18
18 Dijon 18 4 4 10 -15 16
19 Monaco 18 3 4 11 -13 13
20 Guingamp 18 2 5 11 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Paris SG
Khaled Adenon 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
Alexis Blin 🟨
56′
57′
E. Cavani 0–1
Khaled Adenon 🟨
66′
Khaled Adenon 🟥
66′
70′
K. Mbappé 0–2
E. Cavani
71′
🔁 M. Diaby
↦ Á. Di María
F. Otero 🔁
↦ E. Gnahoré
75′
M. Bodmer 🔁
↦ A. Blin
75′
76′
🔁 L. Kurzawa
↦ M. Verratti
79′
Marquinhos 0–3
J. Draxler
80′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ K. Mbappé
R. Kurzawa 🔁
↦ S. Mendoza
85′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Amiens

4-5-1
1 R. Gurtner G
3 K. Adénon D
2 P. Gouano D
4 E. Krafth D
25 J. Lefort D
12 B. Dibassy D
6 T. Monconduit M
5 E. Gnahoré M
17 A. Blin M
20 C. Timite M
10 S. Mendoza M
Bench (7)
11 F. Otero
24 M. Bodmer
21 R. Kurzawa
14 G. Traoré
16 M. Dreyer
19 O. El Hajjam
18 S. Sy

Coach: C. Pélissier

Paris SG

4-3-1-2
16 A. Areola G
13 Dani Alves D
2 Thiago Silva D
12 T. Meunier D
5 Marquinhos D
14 Juan Bernat D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
23 J. Draxler M
9 E. Cavani F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
27 M. Diaby
20 L. Kurzawa
17 E. Choupo-Moting
4 T. Kehrer
24 C. Nkunku
34 S. Nsoki
50 S. Cibois

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.