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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Vitesse
T U S T U
5–1
Full-time
Twente
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
44%
19%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
56%
69%
Both score Ø 60%
44%
75%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 6. · Twente 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 16 12 2 2 +33 38
2 Feyenoord 16 11 3 2 +21 36
3 PSV Eindhoven 16 10 5 1 +22 35
4 Heracles 15 8 3 4 +7 27
5 Groningen 16 7 5 4 +0 26
6 Vitesse 16 7 4 5 +14 25
7 Zwolle 15 7 4 4 +5 25
8 Nijmegen 16 7 3 6 +2 24
9 Heerenveen 16 5 5 6 -3 20
10 Utrecht 14 5 4 5 +0 19
11 AZ Alkmaar 16 5 3 8 -5 18
12 Den Haag 16 3 8 5 -5 17
13 Excelsior 16 4 5 7 -8 17
14 Roda 16 3 7 6 -15 16
15 Willem II 16 3 6 7 -2 15
16 Twente 16 3 4 9 -19 13
17 Cambuur 16 1 7 8 -24 10
18 De Graafschap 16 1 2 13 -23 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Twente
1–0 V. Qazaishvili
K. Diks
10′
2–0 M. Rashica
M. Nakamba
18′
44′
H. Ziyech 2–1
J. Cabral
Half-time 3–1
3–1 D. Solanke
55′
4–1 M. Rashica
I. Brown
58′
64′
🔁 C. Ede
↦ R. Tapia
69′
🔁 H. ter Avest
↦ R. Schilder
L. Baker 🔁
↦ V. Qazaishvili
77′
D. Oliynyk 🔁
↦ I. Brown
80′
5–1 D. Oliynyk
82′
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
86′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

1 E. Room G
6 A. Kruiswijk D
3 M. van der Werff D
5 K. Leerdam D
17 K. Diks D
21 S. Yeini M
26 M. Rashica F
18 M. Nakamba M
10 V. Qazaishvili M
7 I. Brown M
9 D. Solanke F
Bench (7)
34 L. Baker
11 D. Oliynyk
42 M. van Bergen
22 P. Velthuizen
14 A. Dauda
37 G. Kashia
20 D. Pantić

Twente

16 J. Drommel G
3 Bruno Uvini D
15 J. Andersen D
25 P. Bijen D
5 R. Schilder D
6 F. Gutiérrez M
22 K. Mokotjo M
14 R. Tapia M
10 H. Ziyech M
26 J. Cabral F
99 M. Olaitan F
Bench (7)
7 C. Ede
17 H. ter Avest
30 T. Plattel
19 S. Eghan
24 J. Oosterwijk
23 J. van der Heyden
12 T. Hölscher

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.