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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Twente

S T T T T

1–3

Full-time

Willem II

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,2

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

3,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,2

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 12%

15%

Points per game

0,7

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

69%

62%

Both score Ø 66%

69%

62%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

2,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 15. · Willem II 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+29	32
2	Feyenoord	14	10	2	2	+18	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	8	4	1	+18	28
4	Heracles	13	8	2	3	+10	26
5	Nijmegen	13	7	2	4	+5	23
6	Vitesse	13	6	3	4	+14	21
7	Zwolle	12	6	3	3	+6	21
8	Groningen	13	6	3	4	-1	21
9	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	3	5	+0	18
10	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-1	17
11	Excelsior	14	4	4	6	-7	16
12	Roda	14	3	5	6	-15	14
13	Utrecht	12	3	4	5	-2	13
14	Den Haag	13	2	7	4	-5	13
15	Twente	13	2	3	8	-18	9
16	Willem II	13	1	5	7	-7	8
17	Cambuur	14	0	7	7	-23	7
18	De Graafschap	14	1	2	11	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Groningen	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Nijmegen	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Heracles	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+18	15
6	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+7	13
7	Vitesse	6	4	0	2	+10	12
8	Utrecht	6	3	3	0	+5	12
9	Heerenveen	7	3	3	1	+4	12
10	Zwolle	6	3	2	1	+1	11
11	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Roda	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Den Haag	7	1	5	1	+0	8
14	Excelsior	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Twente	6	2	1	3	-6	7
16	Willem II	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Cambuur	8	0	4	4	-14	4
18	De Graafschap	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	4	3	1	+11	15
3	Feyenoord	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Zwolle	6	3	1	2	+5	10
5	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Vitesse	7	2	3	2	+4	9
7	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-4	9
8	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Nijmegen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Heerenveen	7	1	2	4	-5	5
11	Den Haag	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-10	5
13	De Graafschap	7	1	1	5	-10	4
14	Roda	6	1	1	4	-12	4
15	Cambuur	6	0	3	3	-9	3
16	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-6	2
17	Twente	7	0	2	5	-12	2
18	Utrecht	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.