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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Twente

T T T T U

2–1

Full-time

De Graafschap

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente De Graafschap

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

3,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-2,3

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 10%

13%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 63%

73%

53%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

16 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 6

5 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 16. · De Graafschap 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+34	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	10	5	1	+22	35
3	Feyenoord	15	11	2	2	+21	35
4	Heracles	14	8	2	4	+7	26
5	Groningen	15	7	4	4	+0	25
6	Vitesse	15	7	3	5	+14	24
7	Nijmegen	16	7	3	6	+2	24
8	Zwolle	14	6	4	4	+4	22
9	Heerenveen	16	5	5	6	-3	20
10	AZ Alkmaar	15	5	3	7	-4	18
11	Den Haag	16	3	8	5	-5	17
12	Excelsior	16	4	5	7	-8	17
13	Utrecht	13	4	4	5	-1	16
14	Roda	16	3	7	6	-15	16
15	Willem II	16	3	6	7	-2	15
16	Twente	15	2	4	9	-20	10
17	Cambuur	16	1	7	8	-24	10
18	De Graafschap	15	1	2	12	-22	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Groningen	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+21	18
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	2	0	+10	17
5	Nijmegen	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Heracles	7	5	1	1	+7	16
7	Vitesse	8	5	0	3	+10	15
8	Heerenveen	8	4	3	1	+5	15
9	Utrecht	6	3	3	0	+5	12
10	Zwolle	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Roda	9	2	5	2	-3	11
12	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	1	4	-1	10
13	Willem II	8	2	3	3	+2	9
14	Den Haag	8	1	6	1	+0	9
15	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Twente	7	2	1	4	-8	7
17	Cambuur	9	1	4	4	-12	7
18	De Graafschap	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	3	1	+12	18
3	Feyenoord	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Zwolle	7	3	2	2	+5	11
5	Heracles	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	Vitesse	7	2	3	2	+4	9
7	Excelsior	9	2	3	4	-5	9
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-5	8
10	Nijmegen	8	2	1	5	-5	7
11	Willem II	8	1	3	4	-4	6
12	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
13	Heerenveen	8	1	2	5	-8	5
14	Roda	7	1	2	4	-12	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	1	5	-6	4
16	De Graafschap	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Cambuur	7	0	3	4	-12	3
18	Twente	8	0	3	5	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.