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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Zwolle
T S T S T
3–1
Full-time
Roda
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 27/29 matches
Win Ø 34%
44%
24%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
63%
48%
Both score Ø 54%
59%
48%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
7 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 7. · Roda 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 29 22 5 2 +53 71
2 PSV Eindhoven 29 21 6 2 +43 69
3 Feyenoord 29 16 4 9 +19 52
4 AZ Alkmaar 29 14 5 10 +9 47
5 Vitesse 29 12 7 10 +21 43
6 Nijmegen 29 12 7 10 +0 43
7 Zwolle 27 12 5 10 +6 41
8 Heracles 26 12 5 9 -2 41
9 Twente 29 11 5 13 -12 38
10 Den Haag 29 9 10 10 -2 37
11 Groningen 28 10 7 11 -11 37
12 Heerenveen 29 10 7 12 -14 37
13 Utrecht 25 10 6 9 +5 36
14 Roda 29 7 10 12 -15 31
15 Willem II 29 5 10 14 -14 25
16 Excelsior 29 6 7 16 -24 25
17 De Graafschap 29 4 6 19 -24 18
18 Cambuur 29 3 8 18 -38 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Nov -15 Roda – Zwolle 0–5

Match report

Zwolle Roda
21′
🔁 F. Noor
↦ H. Dijkhuizen
B. Schenkeveld 🔁
↦ B. van Polen
37′
41′
Marcos Gullón 0–1
J. Buijs
Half-time 0–1
S. Becker 🔁
↦ K. Ehizibue
46′
S. Nijland 🔁
↦ L. Veldwijk
46′
1–1 Q. Menig
O. Bouy
49′
Wout Brama 🟨
58′
2–1 O. Bouy
S. Nijland
73′
3–1 O. Bouy
W. Marinus
78′
83′
🔁 T. Jurić
↦ M. van Duinen
83′
🔁 M. Ngombo
↦ J. Buijs
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
5 B. van Hintum D
28 T. Lam D
20 K. Ehizibue D
14 W. Brama M
8 O. Bouy D
18 W. Marinus M
9 L. Veldwijk F
11 Q. Menig M
Bench (7)
22 B. Schenkeveld
7 S. Becker
10 S. Nijland
16 K. Begois
19 R. Dekker
21 A. El Hasnaoui
48 T. Evre

Roda

1 B. van Leer G
23 A. Swinkels D
5 A. van Peppen D
3 J. Buijs D
17 H. Dijkhuizen D
31 U. Inceman M
16 Marcos Gullón M
11 K. Peterson F
30 G. Zhukov M
14 R. Poepon F
19 M. van Duinen F
Bench (7)
24 F. Noor
9 T. Jurić
15 M. Ngombo
6 N. Rutjes
8 H. Faik
21 B. Verbist
29 T. Blättler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.