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Eredivisie

Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf

Zwolle

T T S S T

2–1

Full-time

De Graafschap

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle De Graafschap

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 23/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

43%

12%

Points per game

1,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

57%

64%

Both score Ø 59%

57%

60%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 7. · De Graafschap 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	25	19	5	1	+40	62
2	Ajax	25	19	4	2	+44	61
3	Feyenoord	25	12	4	9	+10	40
4	AZ Alkmaar	25	12	4	9	+7	40
5	Vitesse	25	10	7	8	+20	37
6	Nijmegen	25	10	6	9	-1	36
7	Zwolle	23	10	5	8	+6	35
8	Heracles	23	10	5	8	-4	35
9	Groningen	24	9	7	8	-5	34
10	Den Haag	26	8	9	9	-2	33
11	Heerenveen	25	9	6	10	-10	33
12	Twente	26	9	4	13	-14	31
13	Utrecht	22	8	5	9	+0	29
14	Roda	25	6	10	9	-11	28
15	Willem II	25	5	10	10	-4	25
16	Excelsior	25	5	7	13	-19	22
17	Cambuur	25	3	7	15	-33	16
18	De Graafschap	25	3	5	17	-24	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+30	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	10	2	0	+19	32
3	Nijmegen	13	8	2	3	+6	26
4	Groningen	12	7	3	2	+8	24
5	Vitesse	13	7	2	4	+16	23
6	Feyenoord	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	2	4	+7	23
8	Heracles	12	7	2	3	+2	23
9	Twente	12	7	1	4	+4	22
10	Zwolle	11	6	2	3	+3	20
11	Heerenveen	12	5	4	3	+1	19
12	Utrecht	10	5	3	2	+4	18
13	Den Haag	13	3	7	3	-1	16
14	Willem II	12	3	6	3	+3	15
15	Roda	13	3	6	4	-4	15
16	Excelsior	13	3	3	7	-9	12
17	Cambuur	13	2	4	7	-16	10
18	De Graafschap	13	2	3	8	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	9	3	1	+21	30
2	Ajax	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	2	5	+0	17
4	Feyenoord	13	5	2	6	-1	17
5	Den Haag	13	5	2	6	-1	17
6	Zwolle	12	4	3	5	+3	15
7	Vitesse	12	3	5	4	+4	14
8	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-11	14
9	Roda	12	3	4	5	-7	13
10	Heracles	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Utrecht	12	3	2	7	-4	11
12	Willem II	13	2	4	7	-7	10
13	Nijmegen	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Excelsior	12	2	4	6	-10	10
15	Groningen	12	2	4	6	-13	10
16	Twente	14	2	3	9	-18	9
17	Cambuur	12	1	3	8	-17	6
18	De Graafschap	12	1	2	9	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.