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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Roda
U U T T U
0–5
Full-time
Zwolle
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 35%
25%
45%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
42%
55%
Both score Ø 57%
58%
55%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%
18 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 8
8 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 12. · Zwolle 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 12 9 2 1 +25 29
2 PSV Eindhoven 12 8 3 1 +18 27
3 Feyenoord 12 8 2 2 +11 26
4 Heracles 12 8 1 3 +10 25
5 Vitesse 12 6 2 4 +14 20
6 Nijmegen 12 6 2 4 +4 20
7 Zwolle 11 5 3 3 +1 18
8 Groningen 12 5 3 4 -2 18
9 AZ Alkmaar 12 4 3 5 -2 15
10 Excelsior 12 4 3 5 -5 15
11 Heerenveen 12 3 5 4 -2 14
12 Roda 12 3 5 4 -7 14
13 Utrecht 11 3 4 4 -1 13
14 Den Haag 12 2 6 4 -5 12
15 Twente 12 2 3 7 -13 9
16 Willem II 12 1 4 7 -7 7
17 Cambuur 12 0 7 5 -18 7
18 De Graafschap 12 0 2 10 -21 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda Zwolle
4′
W. Marinus 0–1
B. van Hintum
14′
R. Thomas 0–2
Henk Dijkhuizen 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
D. De Silva 🔁
↦ M. Paulissen
46′
M. Monteyne 🔁
↦ H. Dijkhuizen
46′
46′
🔁 K. Ehizibue
↦ R. Dekker
47′
R. Thomas 0–3
K. Ehizibue
Rostyn Griffiths 🟨
51′
J. van Son 🔁
↦ R. Griffiths
57′
60′
L. Veldwijk 0–4
B. van Hintum
67′
🔁 Gustavo
↦ R. Thomas
77′
🔁 S. Nijland
↦ Q. Menig
92′
S. Nijland 0–5
O. Bouy
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Roda

1 B. van Leer G
23 A. Swinkels D
3 G. Sankoh D
5 A. van Peppen D
17 H. Dijkhuizen D
4 R. Griffiths M
7 T. Van Hyfte M
19 M. Paulissen M
8 H. Faik M
11 R. Boakye F
27 E. Gyasi M
Bench (7)
10 D. De Silva
28 M. Monteyne
18 J. van Son
6 N. Rutjes
20 D. Werker
21 B. Verbist
2 B. Biemans

Zwolle

16 K. Begois G
4 D. Marcellis D
5 B. van Hintum D
28 T. Lam D
14 W. Brama M
8 O. Bouy D
30 R. Thomas M
18 W. Marinus M
19 R. Dekker M
9 L. Veldwijk F
11 Q. Menig M
Bench (7)
20 K. Ehizibue
38 Gustavo
10 S. Nijland
17 J. Kvída
1 M. van der Hart
15 S. Bulut
24 B. Lazic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.