Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Roda
Zwolle
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +25 | 29 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |
Heracles
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |
Vitesse
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +14 | 20 |
| 6 |
Nijmegen
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |
Zwolle
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Excelsior
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 |
Heerenveen
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Roda
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |
Utrecht
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 |
Den Haag
|
12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Twente
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
| 16 |
Willem II
|
12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |
Cambuur
|
12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -18 | 7 |
| 18 |
De Graafschap
|
12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -21 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Thomas
M
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Roda
Den Haag
Ajax
Roda
Roda
Excelsior
Utrecht
Roda
Roda
Cambuur
Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.