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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
De Graafschap
U U U T T
3–0
Full-time
Roda
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 18%
12%
23%
Points per game
0,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
65%
46%
Both score Ø 56%
62%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match De Graafschap 18. · Roda 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 26 20 5 1 +43 65
2 Ajax 26 20 4 2 +48 64
3 Feyenoord 26 13 4 9 +12 43
4 AZ Alkmaar 26 13 4 9 +9 43
5 Vitesse 26 11 7 8 +21 40
6 Nijmegen 26 11 6 9 +0 39
7 Zwolle 24 11 5 8 +7 38
8 Heracles 24 10 5 9 -5 35
9 Groningen 25 9 7 9 -8 34
10 Den Haag 26 8 9 9 -2 33
11 Heerenveen 26 9 6 11 -14 33
12 Utrecht 23 9 5 9 +4 32
13 Twente 26 9 4 13 -14 31
14 Roda 26 6 10 10 -12 28
15 Willem II 26 5 10 11 -8 25
16 Excelsior 26 5 7 14 -21 22
17 Cambuur 26 3 7 16 -35 16
18 De Graafschap 26 3 5 18 -25 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -15 Roda – De Graafschap 1–0

Match report

De Graafschap Roda
1–0 Y. El Jebli
C. Peters
33′
Cas Peters 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Peterson
↦ M. Milec
2–0 R. Pröpper
A. Driver
50′
57′
🟨 Arjan Swinkels
58′
🟨 Uğur İnceman
Nathaniel Will 🟨
59′
61′
🔁 M. Ngombo
↦ M. van Duinen
67′
🟨 Marcos Gullon
Vincent Vermeij 🟨
71′
72′
🔁 T. Jurić
↦ H. Faik
D. Koolhof 🔁
↦ A. Driver
74′
K. Vida 🔁
↦ M. Diemers
87′
P. Parzyszek 🔁
↦ Y. El Jebli
90′
3–0 P. Parzyszek
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

De Graafschap

1 H. Jurjus G
5 J. Tesselaar
4 T. van de Pavert D
19 N. Will D
3 R. Pröpper D
15 A. Driver M
8 K. Tarfi M
42 M. Diemers M
20 Y. El Jebli M
13 C. Peters F
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (7)
10 D. Koolhof
23 K. Vida
43 P. Parzyszek
25 T. Cicek
17 N. Kabasele
12 B. Straalman
41 E. Verstappen

Roda

1 B. van Leer G
23 A. Swinkels D
3 J. Buijs D
31 U. Inceman M
7 T. Van Hyfte M
16 Marcos Gullón M
2 M. Milec D
30 G. Zhukov M
8 H. Faik M
14 R. Poepon F
19 M. van Duinen F
Bench (7)
11 K. Peterson
15 M. Ngombo
9 T. Jurić
4 R. Griffiths
21 B. Verbist
17 H. Dijkhuizen
24 F. Noor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.