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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Vitesse
T U S T S
1–1
Full-time
Utrecht
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Den Haag 3 3 0 0 +5 9
4 Vitesse 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Sparta Rotterdam 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Nijmegen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Ajax 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Heracles 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Twente 3 1 0 2 -2 3
11 Willem II 3 1 0 2 -4 3
12 Roda 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 Heerenveen 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 Zwolle 3 0 1 2 -7 1
17 Groningen 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Utrecht
24′
🟨 Andreas Ludwig
1–0 R. van Wolfswinkel
M. Rashica
28′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 R. Zivkovic
↦ P. Joosten
61′
🔁 E. Braafheid
↦ R. Strieder
68′
S. Haller 1–1
G. Troupée
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ Nathan
69′
83′
🔁 G. Kerk
↦ S. Haller
Kelvin Leerdam 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 E. Room G
6 A. Kruiswijk D
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
5 K. Leerdam D
21 S. Yeini M
34 L. Baker M
18 M. Nakamba M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
7 M. Rashica F
11 Nathan M
Bench (7)
16 M. van Bergen
8 K. Ota
9 Zhang Yuning
10 V. Qazaishvili
20 M. Osman
23 M. Tørnes
30 A. Koryan

Coach: H. Fraser

Utrecht

5-3-2
1 R. Ruiter G
3 R. Leeuwin D
5 K. Conboy D
20 G. Troupée D
8 W. Janssen D
11 A. Ludwig M
6 Y. Ayoub M
7 R. Strieder M
25 S. Amrabat M
22 S. Haller F
24 P. Joosten F
Bench (8)
9 R. Zivkovic
28 E. Braafheid
27 G. Kerk
14 M. Koch
16 D. Jensen
17 S. Klaiber
18 R. Rubin
26 D. Rosheuvel

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.