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Pro League

Referee: Nicolas Laforge

Charleroi

S T S S U

3–2

Full-time

Eupen

T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Eupen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

33%

75%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

This season — Pro League · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

0,7

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

57% Possession 43%

11 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 8

13 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 5. · Eupen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Genk	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Gent	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Standard	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Mechelen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Kortrijk	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	St Truiden	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Oostende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Lokeren	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Beveren	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Gent	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Kortrijk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	St Truiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Oostende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Lokeren	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Westerlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Eupen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Beveren	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	3	1	2	0	+1	5
2	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Genk	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Waregem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Eupen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Beveren	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Kortrijk	2	0	1	1	-4	1
12	Oostende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lokeren	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.