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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Excelsior
S U T T T
0–2
Full-time
Zwolle
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
33%
11%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Excelsior 9. · Zwolle 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 9 9 0 0 +22 27
2 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +14 22
3 PSV Eindhoven 9 5 3 1 +11 18
4 Heerenveen 8 5 2 1 +11 17
5 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 +4 14
6 Twente 9 4 2 3 +2 14
7 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 4 1 +5 13
8 Sparta Rotterdam 9 3 3 3 +0 12
9 Excelsior 9 3 1 5 -5 10
10 Den Haag 9 3 1 5 -6 10
11 Nijmegen 9 2 3 4 -7 9
12 Utrecht 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Heracles 9 1 5 3 -3 8
14 Go Ahead Eagles 9 2 2 5 -7 8
15 Willem II 9 1 4 4 -8 7
16 Groningen 9 1 3 5 -8 6
17 Roda 9 1 3 5 -11 6
18 Zwolle 9 1 3 5 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Excelsior Zwolle
17′
🟨 Danny Holla
Half-time 0–1
48′
Q. Menig 0–1
Y. Mokhtar
A. Hadouir 🔁
↦ S. Elbers
56′
D. Pantić 🔁
↦ K. Vermeulen
61′
67′
🔁 R. Thomas
↦ M. Saymak
Anouar Hadouir 🟨
81′
N. Hasselbaink 🔁
↦ R. Koolwijk
82′
88′
🔁 A. Achahbar
↦ Q. Menig
88′
D. Warmerdam 0–2
R. Thomas
91′
🔁 A. Karagounis
↦ Y. Mokhtar
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Excelsior

4-3-3
22 T. Muyters G
4 H. Drost D
15 J. Mattheij D
2 K. Karami D
3 L. Owusu D
10 L. Bruins F
8 R. Koolwijk M
18 K. Vermeulen M
17 Fredy F
29 M. van Duinen F
11 S. Elbers F
Bench (9)
6 A. Hadouir
21 D. Pantić
7 N. Hasselbaink
24 H. Faik
1 F. Kurto
5 B. Kuipers
12 Jeffry Fortes
16 M. Havekotte
23 M. Massop

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
3 T. van de Pavert D
22 B. Schenkeveld D
21 D. Warmerdam D
5 C. Verdonk D
23 D. Holla M
6 M. Saymak M
7 Y. Mokhtar F
11 Q. Menig M
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (8)
30 R. Thomas
9 A. Achahbar
33 A. Karagounis
13 P. Sandler
16 K. Begois
40 D. Bredewolt
48 T. Evre
98 H. Mastour

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.