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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Excelsior

S T T S U

1–3

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

35% Possession 65%

5 Shots 20

1 Shots on target 11

1 Blocked shots 2

8 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 8. · PSV Eindhoven 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	6	6	0	0	+14	18
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Heerenveen	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Excelsior	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Den Haag	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Twente	6	3	0	3	+1	9
11	Heracles	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Groningen	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	Nijmegen	6	1	2	3	-7	5
15	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Roda	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Zwolle	7	0	2	5	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+4	7
3	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Den Haag	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Heracles	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Groningen	4	0	2	2	-6	2
16	Roda	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Heracles	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Twente	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Roda	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Nijmegen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.