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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

Ajax

U T S S S

5–1

Full-time

Zwolle

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

66% Possession 34%

19 Shots 7

11 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 4. · Zwolle 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	6	6	0	0	+14	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Heerenveen	6	4	1	1	+8	13
4	Ajax	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Excelsior	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Den Haag	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Twente	6	3	0	3	+1	9
11	Heracles	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Groningen	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	Nijmegen	6	1	2	3	-7	5
15	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Roda	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Zwolle	6	0	2	4	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Den Haag	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Heracles	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Groningen	4	0	2	2	-6	2
16	Roda	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Heracles	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Twente	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Roda	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Nijmegen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.