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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Go Ahead Eagles

T T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Willem II

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 19%

23%

15%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

62%

38%

Both score Ø 39%

31%

46%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

13 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 16. · Willem II 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	13	10	2	1	+24	32
2	Ajax	13	9	3	1	+20	30
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	7	5	1	+14	26
4	Heerenveen	12	6	4	2	+11	22
5	Twente	13	5	5	3	+4	20
6	AZ Alkmaar	11	4	6	1	+6	18
7	Vitesse	13	4	4	5	+1	16
8	Utrecht	11	4	4	3	+1	16
9	Sparta Rotterdam	13	4	4	5	+0	16
10	Heracles	13	3	6	4	-3	15
11	Den Haag	13	4	2	7	-7	14
12	Excelsior	13	4	1	8	-8	13
13	Zwolle	13	3	4	6	-12	13
14	Nijmegen	13	2	6	5	-12	12
15	Willem II	13	2	5	6	-9	11
16	Go Ahead Eagles	13	3	2	8	-11	11
17	Groningen	12	2	4	6	-8	10
18	Roda	13	1	7	5	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+15	17
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	Twente	7	3	3	1	+5	12
4	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	4	0	+4	10
7	Utrecht	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Go Ahead Eagles	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	PSV Eindhoven	6	2	3	1	+1	9
10	Excelsior	7	3	0	4	-1	9
11	Heracles	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Zwolle	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Vitesse	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Nijmegen	7	1	4	2	-4	7
16	Willem II	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-8	5
18	Roda	6	0	3	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	2	0	+13	17
2	Feyenoord	6	5	0	1	+9	15
3	Ajax	6	4	2	0	+9	14
4	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+6	11
5	Vitesse	7	2	3	2	+2	9
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Twente	6	2	2	2	-1	8
8	Heracles	7	1	4	2	-3	7
9	Den Haag	7	2	1	4	-5	7
10	Roda	7	1	4	2	-6	7
11	Utrecht	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Groningen	6	1	2	3	+0	5
13	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-3	5
14	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Zwolle	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Nijmegen	6	1	2	3	-8	5
17	Excelsior	6	1	1	4	-7	4
18	Go Ahead Eagles	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.