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Eredivisie
Referee: Richard Liesveld
Willem II
T U T S T
0–0
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
17%
58%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
42%
33%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
12 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 16. · PSV Eindhoven 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 12 9 2 1 +21 29
2 Ajax 12 8 3 1 +15 27
3 PSV Eindhoven 12 7 4 1 +14 25
4 Heerenveen 12 6 4 2 +11 22
5 Twente 12 5 4 3 +4 19
6 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 5 1 +6 17
7 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 4 4 +1 16
8 Vitesse 13 4 4 5 +1 16
9 Utrecht 10 4 3 3 +1 15
10 Heracles 13 3 6 4 -3 15
11 Den Haag 12 4 2 6 -6 14
12 Zwolle 12 3 4 5 -9 13
13 Nijmegen 12 2 6 4 -7 12
14 Go Ahead Eagles 13 3 2 8 -11 11
15 Excelsior 12 3 1 8 -9 10
16 Willem II 12 2 4 6 -9 10
17 Roda 12 1 6 5 -11 9
18 Groningen 11 1 4 6 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II PSV Eindhoven
34′
🟨 Santiago Arias
Half-time 0–0
E. Falkenburg 🔁
↦ K. Tshimanga
46′
56′
🔁 J. Willems
↦ J. Brenet
59′
🟨 Jetro Willems
67′
🔁 S. Bergwijn
↦ L. Narsingh
Bruno Andrade 🔁
↦ T. Haye
76′
79′
🔁 D. Pröpper
↦ O. Zinchenko
B. Ogbeche 🔁
↦ Fran Sol
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Willem II

4-1-4-1
1 K. Lamprou G
4 J. Peters D
26 K. Tshimanga D
29 D. Lachman D
3 F. Heerkens D
46 P. van Anholt D
6 F. Ojo M
20 A. Kali M
8 T. Haye M
14 J. Croux F
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (10)
10 E. Falkenburg
11 Bruno Andrade
22 B. Ogbeche
7 J. Schuurman
15 D. Wuytens
23 N. Bertrams
25 E. Lieftink
28 Asumah
30 A. Calcan
31 M. Branderhorst

Coach: E. van de Looi

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
3 H. Moreno D
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
25 O. Zinchenko D
23 B. Ramselaar M
9 L. de Jong F
11 L. Narsingh M
7 G. Pereiro M
Bench (12)
15 J. Willems
27 S. Bergwijn
6 D. Pröpper
10 S. de Jong
14 S. Poulsen
17 F. Jozefzoon
22 R. Pasveer
30 J. de Wijs
31 H. Jurjus
38 R. Lundqvist
43 P. Rosario
50 S. Lammers

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Richard Liesveld · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
7,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.