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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Den Haag
T T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Willem II
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
18%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
55%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 11. · Willem II 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 11 9 2 0 +22 29
2 Ajax 11 8 2 1 +15 26
3 PSV Eindhoven 11 7 3 1 +14 24
4 Heerenveen 11 6 3 2 +11 21
5 Twente 11 5 3 3 +4 18
6 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 4 1 +6 16
7 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 4 4 +1 16
8 Vitesse 11 4 3 4 +2 15
9 Utrecht 9 3 3 3 +0 12
10 Zwolle 11 3 3 5 -9 12
11 Den Haag 11 3 2 6 -7 11
12 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 -7 11
13 Excelsior 11 3 1 7 -8 10
14 Willem II 11 2 4 5 -8 10
15 Heracles 11 1 6 4 -5 9
16 Go Ahead Eagles 11 2 2 7 -11 8
17 Roda 11 1 5 5 -11 8
18 Groningen 10 1 3 6 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Willem II
Kevin Jansen 🟨
27′
E. Duplan 🔁
↦ K. Jansen
32′
45′
🟨 Funso Ojo
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Beugelsdijk
H. Hevel
56′
Mike Havenaar 🟨
60′
68′
🔁 T. Haye
↦ Asumah
68′
🔁 A. Calcan
↦ J. Croux
José San Román 🟨
75′
A. El Mahdioui 🔁
↦ H. Hevel
77′
Tom Beugelsdijk 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 J. Schuurman
↦ P. van Anholt
S. Becker 🔁
↦ R. Schaken
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-1-2
1 E. Šetkus G
13 J. San Román D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
3 T. Meißner D
28 T. Ebuehi D
7 K. Jansen M
12 T. Trybull M
23 H. Hevel M
9 M. Havenaar F
20 R. Schaken F
19 D. van der Heijden F
Bench (7)
21 E. Duplan
6 A. El Mahdioui
77 S. Becker
5 W. Kanon
11 L. Marengo
22 R. Zwinkels
24 R. de Boer

Coach: Z. Petrović

Willem II

4-3-3
1 K. Lamprou G
4 J. Peters D
26 K. Tshimanga D
29 D. Lachman D
46 P. van Anholt D
10 E. Falkenburg F
6 F. Ojo M
20 A. Kali M
22 B. Ogbeche F
14 J. Croux F
28 Asumah F
Bench (10)
8 T. Haye
30 A. Calcan
7 J. Schuurman
3 F. Heerkens
11 Bruno Andrade
15 D. Wuytens
23 N. Bertrams
25 E. Lieftink
31 M. Branderhorst
42 A. Franssen

Coach: E. van de Looi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.