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Eredivisie
Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer
Willem II
T U U T U
0–1
Full-time
Utrecht
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 9/7 matches
Win Ø 20%
11%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
44%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
56%
71%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
2 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 16. · Utrecht 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 9 9 0 0 +22 27
2 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +14 22
3 PSV Eindhoven 10 6 3 1 +12 21
4 Heerenveen 8 5 2 1 +11 17
5 Twente 10 5 2 3 +4 17
6 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 +4 14
7 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 4 1 +5 13
8 Sparta Rotterdam 10 3 3 4 -1 12
9 Den Haag 10 3 2 5 -6 11
10 Excelsior 10 3 1 6 -7 10
11 Nijmegen 9 2 3 4 -7 9
12 Zwolle 10 2 3 5 -11 9
13 Utrecht 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Heracles 9 1 5 3 -3 8
15 Go Ahead Eagles 10 2 2 6 -9 8
16 Willem II 9 1 4 4 -8 7
17 Roda 10 1 4 5 -11 7
18 Groningen 9 1 3 5 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Utrecht
13′
🟨 Rico Strieder
Fran Sol 🟥
31′
34′
🟨 Giovanni Troupee
Half-time 0–0
D. Koppers 🔁
↦ E. Falkenburg
46′
Dries Wuytens 🟨
47′
65′
🟨 Robin Van der Meer
68′
🔁 P. Joosten
↦ S. Amrabat
B. Ogbeche 🔁
↦ Asumah
71′
79′
🔁 S. Klaiber
↦ M. van der Maarel
91′
S. Haller 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
1 K. Lamprou G
26 K. Tshimanga D
29 D. Lachman D
15 D. Wuytens D
3 F. Heerkens D
10 E. Falkenburg F
6 F. Ojo M
20 A. Kali M
14 J. Croux F
9 Fran Sol F
28 Asumah F
Bench (10)
5 D. Koppers
22 B. Ogbeche
7 J. Schuurman
8 T. Haye
11 Bruno Andrade
17 B. van den Boomen
23 N. Bertrams
25 E. Lieftink
30 A. Calcan
31 M. Branderhorst

Coach: E. van de Looi

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 R. Ruiter G
2 M. van der Maarel D
15 Robin van der Meer D
20 G. Troupée D
8 W. Janssen D
6 Y. Ayoub M
7 R. Strieder M
25 S. Amrabat M
10 N. Barazite M
22 S. Haller F
9 R. Zivkovic F
Bench (7)
24 P. Joosten
17 S. Klaiber
14 M. Koch
16 D. Jensen
18 R. Rubin
26 D. Rosheuvel
27 G. Kerk

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Reinold Wiedemeijer · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.