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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Groningen
U S S T S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
19%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
53%
56%
Both score Ø 39%
47%
31%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 13. · Go Ahead Eagles 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 17 13 3 1 +35 42
2 Ajax 16 11 3 2 +22 36
3 PSV Eindhoven 16 9 6 1 +17 33
4 Heerenveen 16 8 4 4 +12 28
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 7 2 +7 25
6 Utrecht 15 6 6 3 +5 24
7 Twente 17 6 6 5 +3 24
8 Vitesse 17 6 5 6 +2 23
9 Willem II 17 4 7 6 -7 19
10 Nijmegen 17 4 7 6 -10 19
11 Heracles 16 4 6 6 -7 18
12 Sparta Rotterdam 16 4 5 7 -6 17
13 Groningen 15 4 4 7 -4 16
14 Excelsior 17 4 4 9 -9 16
15 Den Haag 16 4 2 10 -14 14
16 Zwolle 16 3 5 8 -18 14
17 Roda 17 1 10 6 -13 13
18 Go Ahead Eagles 16 3 2 11 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Go Ahead Eagles
1–0 M. Mahi ⚽
S. Tibbling
20′
31′
⚽ J. Antonia 1–1
L. de Kogel
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Hendriks
↦ R. Wolters
A. Sørloth 🔁
↦ T. van Weert
58′
Hans Hateboer 🟨
60′
Juninho Bacuna 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 S. Locigno
↦ L. de Kogel
T. Hiariej 🔁
↦ J. Bacuna
71′
76′
🟨 Xandro Schenk
82′
🔁 K. Brands
↦ J. Antonia
O. Idrissi 🔁
↦ A. Rusnák
84′
90′
🟨 Darren Maatsen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Groningen

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
6 E. Reijnen D
33 H. Hateboer M
8 R. Jenssen M
10 A. Rusnák M
22 S. Tibbling M
20 Y. van Nieff M
5 S. Memišević D
12 J. Bacuna M
19 T. van Weert F
14 M. Mahi M
Bench (10)
13 A. Sørloth
24 T. Hiariej
45 O. Idrissi
2 J. Davidson
9 D. Hoesen
16 S. van der Lei
17 Jesper Drost
23 H. Maduro
25 D. Payne
30 P. van der Vlag

Coach: E. Faber

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
35 R. Achenteh M
23 N. Nieveld D
4 X. Schenk D
32 J. Groenbast D
24 M. Ritzmaier M
11 R. Wolters F
9 L. de Kogel F
77 J. Antonia F
14 D. Maatsen M
Bench (7)
19 S. Hendriks
17 S. Locigno
10 K. Brands
2 L. Lambooij
8 J. Suk
13 E. Cummins
22 H. Ojamaa

Coach: H. de Koning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.